2026 schedule
Dartmouth Big Green
2026 season so far
Dartmouth is 3-3 against the 51st-toughest schedule so far, scoring 22.3 and allowing 22 points per game (+0.3 per game).
Dartmouth plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: vs Harvard in Week 9. We project Dartmouth 21, Harvard 28 — Dartmouth wins 33% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
10 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 11:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- at
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
4-0 · SOS #131
Loss 20-24
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Lehigh by 14.5
Total 53.7
DraftKings
LEH -17.5
Total 50.5
Final Lehigh by 4. Dartmouth beat the spread. 44 points — under the 50.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Lehigh -17.5 (open Lehigh -16.5) · O/U 50.5 · ML +577 / -960 · Lehigh 86% no-vig · model vs market -3.0 pts, -3 pct pts (Lehigh view)
ESPN+ Goodman Stadium - vs
Monmouth Hawks
3-2 · SOS #101
Loss 28-31
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Dartmouth by 12.2
Total 59.6
DraftKings
DART -3
Total 51.5
Final Monmouth by 3. Monmouth beat the spread. 59 points — over the 51.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Dartmouth -3 (open Dartmouth -2.5) · O/U 51.5 (open 53.5) · ML +128 / -160 · Dartmouth 58% no-vig · model vs market +9.2 pts, +20 pct pts (Dartmouth view)
Game-time weather: Mostly cloudy, 57°F, Wind calm.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KLEB)ESPN+ Memorial Field (Dartmouth)Pregame calls · how each did
ExpectedLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded gamesLow Scoring Alert: missed - vs
Pennsylvania Quakers
1-2 · SOS #97
Win 14-10
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Dartmouth by 7.9
Total 50.3
DraftKings
DART -8.5
Total 45.5
Final Dartmouth by 4. Pennsylvania beat the spread. 24 points — under the 45.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Dartmouth -8.5 (open Dartmouth -7.5) · O/U 45.5 (open 39.5) · ML +246 / -324 · Dartmouth 73% no-vig · model vs market -0.6 pts, -3 pct pts (Dartmouth view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 64°F, Wind 7 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KLEB)ESPN+ Memorial Field (Dartmouth)Pregame calls · how each did
Low Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - at
Yale Bulldogs
3-1 · SOS #83
Loss 7-28
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Yale by 8.3
Total 55.9
DraftKings
YALE -7
Total 53.5
Final Yale by 21. Yale beat the spread. 35 points — under the 53.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Yale -7 (open Yale -6) · O/U 53.5 (open 52.5) · ML +249 / -329 · Yale 73% no-vig · model vs market +1.3 pts, -2 pct pts (Yale view)
Game-time weather: 66°F, Wind 5 mph NNE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KHVN)ESPNU Yale Bowl - vs
Merrimack Warriors
2-5 · SOS #66
Win 27-21
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Dartmouth by 10.6
Total 43.6
DraftKings
DART -10.5
Total 44.5
Final Dartmouth by 6. Merrimack beat the spread. 48 points — over the 44.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Dartmouth -10.5 (open Dartmouth -11.5) · O/U 44.5 (open 47.5) · ML +312 / -427 · Dartmouth 77% no-vig · model vs market +0.1 pts, -1 pct pts (Dartmouth view)
Game-time weather: Mostly cloudy, 45°F, Wind 8 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KLEB)ESPN+ Memorial Field (Dartmouth)Pregame calls · how each did
ExpectedLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLeans low scoring: missedLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded gamesLow Scoring Alert: missed - at
Columbia Lions
4-2 · SOS #119
Win 38-18
Week 8
Our number· pregame
dead even
Total 49.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Dartmouth by 20. 56 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 64°F, Wind 3 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KTEB)ESPN+ Lawrence A. Wien StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesCoin flip: missed - vs
Harvard Crimson
6-0 · SOS #100
Fri, Oct 30, 11:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 21-28 · 33%
Our number
Harvard by 7
Total 49
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Mostly cloudy, 47°F, Wind 10 mph NW, 0% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:37 AM EDTESPNU Memorial Field (Dartmouth)ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - at
Princeton Tigers
4-2 · SOS #128
Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 21-23 · 46%
Our number
Princeton by 2
Total 44
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Princeton StadiumExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - at
Cornell Big Red
3-3 · SOS #44
Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 26-28 · 45%
Our number
Cornell by 2
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Schoellkopf FieldExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded games - vs
Brown Bears
3-3 · SOS #81
Sat, Nov 21, 6:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 25-21 · 61%
Our number
Dartmouth by 4
Total 46
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Memorial Field (Dartmouth)ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded games
Times shown in your local time
Dartmouth Big Green stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-18.8
Adj. offense
15.7
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
34.5
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 22.3 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 22.0 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.65 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.40 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 166.5 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 168.0 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 181.7 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 209.2 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.33 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.00 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 1.00 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.33 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.13 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.08 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 42.9% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 47.5% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 12.3% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 9.9% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 12.7% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 13.4% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 0.00 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 0.00 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 0 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 0 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 59.2 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.11 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.16 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.11 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.05 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 42.2% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 38.4% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 18.1% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 33.0% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 30.1% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 50.0% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 48.1% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 0.0% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 0.0% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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