2026 schedule
Pennsylvania Quakers
2026 season so far
Pennsylvania is 3-3 against the 97th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 18.7 and allowing 18.3 points per game (+0.4 per game).
Pennsylvania plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: at Brown in Week 9. We project Pennsylvania 21, Brown 24 — Pennsylvania wins 41% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
10 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 11:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- at
Bucknell Bison
1-3 · SOS #115
Win 20-7
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Bucknell by 3.6
Total 42.2
DraftKings
PENN -3.5
Total 46.5
Final Pennsylvania by 13. Pennsylvania beat the spread. 27 points — under the 46.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Pennsylvania -3.5 (open Pennsylvania -3) · O/U 46.5 (open 48.5) · ML -195 / +155 · Bucknell 37% no-vig · model vs market +7.1 pts, +22 pct pts (Bucknell view)
ESPN+ Christy Mathewson-Memorial Stadium - vs
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
5-0 · SOS #131
Loss 7-20
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Lehigh by 2.5
Total 52.7
DraftKings
LEH -12.5
Total 45.5
Final Lehigh by 13. Lehigh beat the spread. 27 points — under the 45.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Lehigh -12.5 (open Lehigh -10.5) · O/U 45.5 (open 48.5) · ML -456 / +330 · Pennsylvania 22% no-vig · model vs market +10.0 pts, +21 pct pts (Pennsylvania view)
Game-time weather: Light rain, 63°F, Wind 11 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KPHL)ESPN+ Franklin Field - at
Dartmouth Big Green
1-2 · SOS #51
Loss 10-14
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Dartmouth by 7.9
Total 50.3
DraftKings
DART -8.5
Total 45.5
Final Dartmouth by 4. Pennsylvania beat the spread. 24 points — under the 45.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Dartmouth -8.5 (open Dartmouth -7.5) · O/U 45.5 (open 39.5) · ML +246 / -324 · Dartmouth 73% no-vig · model vs market -0.6 pts, -3 pct pts (Dartmouth view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 64°F, Wind 7 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KLEB)ESPN+ Memorial Field (Dartmouth) - vs
Howard Bison
2-4 · SOS #47
Win 24-20
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Pennsylvania by 16.1
Total 45.7
DraftKings
PENN -11.5
Total 42.5
Final Pennsylvania by 4. Howard beat the spread. 44 points — over the 42.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Pennsylvania -11.5 (open Pennsylvania -14) · O/U 42.5 · ML +406 / -590 · Pennsylvania 81% no-vig · model vs market +4.6 pts, +4 pct pts (Pennsylvania view)
Game-time weather: 75°F, Wind 8 mph E.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KPHL)ESPN+ Franklin Field - vs
Columbia Lions
4-1 · SOS #119
Loss 27-28
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Pennsylvania by 7.2
Total 47
DraftKings
PENN -6.5
Total 46.5
Final Columbia by 1. Columbia beat the spread. 55 points — over the 46.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Pennsylvania -6.5 · O/U 46.5 · ML +187 / -239 · Pennsylvania 67% no-vig · model vs market +0.7 pts, +1 pct pts (Pennsylvania view)
Kickoff forecast: Chance rain showers, 65°F, Wind 10 mph SW, 38% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 11, 8:43 AM EDT · last stored copyESPNU Franklin Field - vs
Yale Bulldogs
3-3 · SOS #83
Win 24-21
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Yale by 5.6
Total 52.2
DraftKings
YALE -5.5
Total 49.5
Final Pennsylvania by 3. Pennsylvania beat the spread. 45 points — under the 49.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Yale -5.5 (open Yale -4.5) · O/U 49.5 · ML -198 / +157 · Pennsylvania 37% no-vig · model vs market -0.1 pts, -1 pct pts (Pennsylvania view)
Game-time weather: 52°F, Wind 5 mph SE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KPHL)ESPNU Franklin Field - at
Brown Bears
3-3 · SOS #81
Sat, Oct 31, 4:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 21-24 · 41%
Our number
Brown by 3
Total 45
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Sunny, 54°F, Wind 8 mph N, 0% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:38 AM EDTESPN+ Brown Stadium (RI) - at
Cornell Big Red
3-3 · SOS #44
Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 24-29 · 36%
Our number
Cornell by 5
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Schoellkopf Field - vs
Harvard Crimson
6-0 · SOS #100
Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 19-29 · 26%
Our number
Harvard by 10
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Franklin Field - at
Princeton Tigers
4-2 · SOS #128
Sat, Nov 21, 5:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 19-24 · 37%
Our number
Princeton by 5
Total 43
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Princeton Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Pennsylvania Quakers stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-22.3
Adj. offense
13.4
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
35.7
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 18.7 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 18.3 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.01 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 4.57 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 114.5 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 232.3 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 133.8 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 144.7 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.33 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.33 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.00 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.67 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | -0.05 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | -0.06 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 37.0% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 39.1% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 10.1% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 10.1% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 17.7% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 15.4% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 0.00 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 0.00 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 0 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 0 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 69.2 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | -0.06 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.05 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | -0.01 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | -0.12 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 35.6% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 37.0% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 21.5% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 30.2% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 28.1% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 41.5% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 35.4% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 0.0% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 0.0% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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