2026 schedule
Marist Red Foxes
2026 season so far
Marist is 4-4 against the 154th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 24.4 and allowing 21.5 points per game (+2.9 per game).
Marist plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: at San Diego in Week 9. We project Marist 24, San Diego 29 — Marist wins 36% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 11:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- at
New Haven Chargers
1-0 · SOS #74
Loss 21-22
Week 1
Our number· pregame
New Haven by 2.2
Total 54.6
DraftKings
NH -2.5
Total 46.5
Final New Haven by 1. Marist beat the spread. 43 points — under the 46.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: New Haven -2.5 (open Marist -1.5) · O/U 46.5 (open 44.5) · ML +116 / -145 · New Haven 56% no-vig · model vs market -0.3 pts, -0 pct pts (New Haven view)
Ralph F. DellaCamera Stadium - vs
Franklin Pierce Ravens
0-1 · SOS #157
Win 27-18
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Marist by 3.5
Total 50.5
Book line
Not posted
Final Marist by 9. 45 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Tenney Stadium at Leonidoff Field - at
Lafayette Leopards
1-1 · SOS #126
Loss 9-13
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Lafayette by 8.7
Total 55.3
DraftKings
LAF -15.5
Total 47.5
Final Lafayette by 4. Marist beat the spread. 22 points — under the 47.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Lafayette -15.5 (open Lafayette -12.5) · O/U 47.5 · ML +517 / -820 · Lafayette 85% no-vig · model vs market -6.8 pts, -13 pct pts (Lafayette view)
ESPN+ Fisher Stadium - vs
Presbyterian Blue Hose
1-3 · SOS #145
Win 42-7
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Marist by 5.9
Total 51.9
DraftKings
MRST -8.5
Total 44.5
Final Marist by 35. Marist beat the spread. 49 points — over the 44.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Marist -8.5 · O/U 44.5 (open 46.5) · ML +203 / -262 · Marist 69% no-vig · model vs market -2.6 pts, -4 pct pts (Marist view)
ESPN+ Tenney Stadium at Leonidoff Field - at
Stetson Hatters
1-4 · SOS #110
Win 28-14
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Marist by 11.6
Total 51
DraftKings
MRST -10.5
Total 46.5
Final Marist by 14. Marist beat the spread. 42 points — under the 46.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Marist -10.5 (open Marist -15.5) · O/U 46.5 (open 49.5) · ML -511 / +362 · Stetson 21% no-vig · model vs market -1.1 pts, +2 pct pts (Stetson view)
Game-time weather: Partly cloudy, 89°F, Wind 9 mph S.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KDED)YouTube Spec Martin Memorial Stadium - vs
Columbia Lions
3-1 · SOS #119
Loss 28-41
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Marist by 10.3
Total 42.9
DraftKings
COLU -3.5
Total 43.5
Final Columbia by 13. Columbia beat the spread. 69 points — over the 43.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Columbia -3.5 (open Columbia -1.5) · O/U 43.5 (open 44.5) · ML -185 / +147 · Marist 38% no-vig · model vs market +13.8 pts, +37 pct pts (Marist view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 48°F, Wind calm.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KPOU)ESPN+ Tenney Stadium at Leonidoff Field - at
Drake Bulldogs
2-5 · SOS #112
Win 27-22
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Drake by 4.3
Total 49.1
DraftKings
DRKE -3
Total 51.5
Final Marist by 5. Marist beat the spread. 49 points — under the 51.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Drake -3 (open Drake -4.5) · O/U 51.5 (open 48.5) · ML +147 / -184 · Drake 62% no-vig · model vs market +1.3 pts, -0 pct pts (Drake view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 57°F, Wind 9 mph SSW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KDSM)ESPN+ Drake Stadium (IA) - vs
St. Thomas Tommies
6-2 · SOS #127
Loss 13-35
Week 8
Our number· pregame
St. Thomas by 4.2
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
Final St. Thomas by 22. 48 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 55°F, Wind 3 mph SSE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KPOU)ESPN+ Tenney Stadium at Leonidoff Field - at
San Diego Toreros
3-5 · SOS #93
Sat, Oct 31, 8:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 24-29 · 36%
Our number
San Diego by 5
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Slight chance rain showers, 71°F, Wind 5 mph SW, 21% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 8:35 AM EDTESPN+ Torero Stadium - vs
Morehead State Eagles
2-6 · SOS #165
Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 35-19 · 85%
Our number
Marist by 16
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Tenney Stadium at Leonidoff Field - vs
Butler Bulldogs
6-2 · SOS #111
Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 20-29 · 29%
Our number
Butler by 9
Total 49
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Tenney Stadium at Leonidoff Field - at
Davidson Wildcats
3-5 · SOS #171
Sat, Nov 21, 6:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 33-20 · 81%
Our number
Marist by 13
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Richardson Stadium (Davidson, NC)
Times shown in your local time
Marist Red Foxes stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-27.3
Adj. offense
10.8
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
38.1
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 24.4 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 21.5 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.90 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.00 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 137.3 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 225.9 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 131.3 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 216.5 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.00 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.63 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 1.38 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.50 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | -0.03 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.07 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 40.4% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 41.6% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 11.7% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 10.6% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 13.4% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 15.7% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 0.00 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 0.00 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 0 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 0 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 61.5 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | -0.06 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.02 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.04 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.09 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 42.4% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 42.3% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 22.0% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 31.7% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 31.5% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 39.6% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 48.8% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 0.0% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 0.0% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
Free weekly projections email
One email a week in season: the closest projected games, the biggest mismatches and how the model graded out last week. Email address only — no spam, unsubscribe any time.