2026 schedule
Grambling Tigers
2026 season so far
Grambling is 4-3 against the 60th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 36.7 and allowing 39.3 points per game (-2.6 per game).
Grambling plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: at Texas Southern in Week 9. We project Grambling 36, Texas Southern 28 — Grambling wins 69% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
11 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- vs
Clark Atlanta Panthers
0-1 · SOS #139
Win 49-7
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Grambling by 5.4
Total 51.6
Book line
Not posted
Final Grambling by 42. 56 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Eddie G. Robinson Memorial Stadium - vs
Central State (OH) Marauders
0-2 · SOS #135
Win 48-26
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Grambling by 5.4
Total 51.6
Book line
Not posted
Final Grambling by 22. 74 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Eddie G. Robinson Memorial Stadium - at
TCU Horned Frogs
1-1 · SOS #55
Loss 7-63
Week 2
Our number· pregame
TCU by 34.8
Total 51.2
DraftKings
TCU -44.5
Total 56.5
Final TCU by 56. TCU beat the spread. 70 points — over the 56.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: TCU -44.5 (open TCU -43.75) · O/U 56.5 (open 54) · model vs market -9.7 pts (TCU view)
ESPN+ Amon G. Carter Stadium - vs
Prairie View A&M Panthers
2-3 · SOS #67
Loss 14-21
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Prairie View A&M by 4.7
Total 56.7
DraftKings
PV -11.5
Total 55.5
Final Prairie View A&M by 7. Grambling beat the spread. 35 points — under the 55.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Prairie View A&M -11.5 (open Prairie View A&M -9.5) · O/U 55.5 (open 54.5) · ML -449 / +325 · Grambling 22% no-vig · model vs market +6.8 pts, +16 pct pts (Grambling view)
ESPN+ Cotton Bowl - vs
Alcorn State Braves
3-3 · SOS #164
Win 63-59
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Grambling by 3.8
Total 60
DraftKings
GRAM -6
Total 55.5
Final Grambling by 4. Alcorn State beat the spread. 122 points — over the 55.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Grambling -6 (open Grambling -7.5) · O/U 55.5 (open 57.5) · ML +183 / -234 · Grambling 66% no-vig · model vs market -2.2 pts, -7 pct pts (Grambling view)
Eddie G. Robinson Memorial Stadium - vs
Jackson State Tigers
5-1 · SOS #163
Win 45-38
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Jackson State by 12.1
Total 61.3
DraftKings
JKST -8.5
Total 55.5
Final Grambling by 7. Grambling beat the spread. 83 points — over the 55.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Jackson State -8.5 · O/U 55.5 (open 54.5) · ML -311 / +237 · Grambling 28% no-vig · model vs market -3.6 pts, -7 pct pts (Grambling view)
Eddie G. Robinson Memorial Stadium - at
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
6-2 · SOS #152
Loss 31-61
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Alabama A&M by 9.8
Total 64.6
DraftKings
AAMU -7
Total 60.5
Final Alabama A&M by 30. Alabama A&M beat the spread. 92 points — over the 60.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Alabama A&M -7 · O/U 60.5 (open 59.5) · ML +173 / -219 · Alabama A&M 65% no-vig · model vs market +2.8 pts, +9 pct pts (Alabama A&M view)
Louis Crews Stadium - at
Texas Southern Tigers
2-5 · SOS #138
Sun, Nov 1, 12:30 AM
Week 9
Proj 36-28 · 69%
Our number
Grambling by 8
Total 64
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Shell Energy Stadium - vs
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
4-3 · SOS #99
Sat, Nov 7, 8:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 33-32 · 52%
Our number
Grambling by 1
Total 65
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Eddie G. Robinson Memorial Stadium - at
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
5-3 · SOS #125
Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 30-33 · 43%
Our number
Bethune-Cookman by 3
Total 63
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Daytona Stadium - vs
Southern Jaguars
3-5 · SOS #90
Sat, Nov 28, 7:00 PM
Week 13
Proj 33-28 · 62%
Our number
Grambling by 5
Total 61
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Caesars Superdome
Times shown in your local time
Grambling Tigers stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-26.4
Adj. offense
17.4
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
43.9
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 36.7 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 39.3 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 6.86 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 7.09 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 183.9 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 242.6 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 195.1 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 263.6 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.14 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.57 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.00 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.57 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.16 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.15 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 42.0% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 45.5% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 14.7% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 16.1% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 13.3% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 14.9% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.79 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 4.81 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 12 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 9 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 62.1 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.11 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.21 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.14 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.18 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 43.9% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 43.0% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 21.6% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 38.6% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 30.0% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 46.6% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 37.3% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 57.6% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 72.4% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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