Bucks vs Knicks Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Milwaukee Bucks at New York Knicks · Tue, Nov 10, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 10, 2026 prediction: New York Knicks over the Bucks by 11.4 points, a 83% win probability, with a projected final of Bucks 108, Knicks 119 (total 226.4).

The model projects New York Knicks to win by 11.4 points (83% win probability), projected score NYK 119, MIL 108, total 226.4 (80% range 203–250). The largest driver is player on-court impact (3.5 points toward NYK).

Matchup

Milwaukee Bucks rank 24 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−4.4 points against an average opponent, about 29 projected wins in 2026-27); New York Knicks rank 3 (+4.8, about 52 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 9.2 points to New York Knicks; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 11.4-point margin above. A 83% win probability means New York Knicks should win about 8 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (NYK margin)
• Player box-score production: +3.0 (NYK margin)
• Player on-court impact: +3.5 (NYK margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +2.7 (NYK margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +1.6 (NYK margin)

Rest and travel

MIL: 1 day(s) of rest, 733 miles of travel. NYK: 2 day(s) of rest, 404 miles of travel.

Projected minutes

MIL: Tyler Herro 29, Ryan Rollins 27, Jaime Jaquez Jr. 25, Kyle Kuzma 25, Myles Turner 22, Kasparas Jakucionis 21, AJ Green 18, Kel'el Ware 16, Ousmane Dieng 14.

NYK: Jalen Brunson 34, OG Anunoby 32, Josh Hart 31, Mikal Bridges 30, Karl-Anthony Towns 30, Landry Shamet 23, Miles McBride 18, Andre Drummond 12, Tyler Kolek 12.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 10, 2026 · New York Knicks · Milwaukee Bucks · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.