Bucks vs Magic Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Milwaukee Bucks at Orlando Magic · Fri, Nov 13, 2026 · NBA Cup - Group Play

HoopVantage's Nov 13, 2026 prediction: Orlando Magic over the Bucks by 5.7 points, a 68% win probability, with a projected final of Bucks 112, Magic 117 (total 229.1).

The model projects Orlando Magic to win by 5.7 points (68% win probability), projected score ORL 117, MIL 112, total 229.1 (80% range 206–253). The largest driver is player on-court impact (1.7 points toward ORL).

Matchup

Milwaukee Bucks rank 27 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−4.4 points against an average opponent, about 28 projected wins in 2026-27); Orlando Magic rank 17 (−0.4, about 38 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 4.0 points to Orlando Magic; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 5.7-point margin above. A 68% win probability means Orlando Magic should win about 7 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (ORL margin)
• Player box-score production: +1.3 (ORL margin)
• Player on-court impact: +1.7 (ORL margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +1.1 (ORL margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +1.1 (ORL margin)

Rest and travel

MIL: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights, 1,066 miles of travel. ORL: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights, 1,916 miles of travel.

Projected minutes

MIL: Tyler Herro 29, Jaime Jaquez Jr. 26, Ryan Rollins 25, Kyle Kuzma 24, Kasparas Jakucionis 21, Myles Turner 20, AJ Green 20, Kel'el Ware 15, Brayden Burries 14.

ORL: Franz Wagner 34, Desmond Bane 29, Tristan da Silva 29, Wendell Carter Jr. 25, Anthony Black 22, Jalen Suggs 19, Paolo Banchero 17, Jamal Cain 15, Jevon Carter 14.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 13, 2026 · Orlando Magic · Milwaukee Bucks · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.