Bulls vs Timberwolves Prediction, Projected Score & Pick
Chicago Bulls at Minnesota Timberwolves · Sat, Nov 14, 2026
HoopVantage's Nov 14, 2026 prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves over the Bulls by 10.2 points, a 80% win probability, with a projected final of Bulls 111, Timberwolves 121 (total 231.9).
The model projects Minnesota Timberwolves to win by 10.2 points (80% win probability), projected score MIN 121, CHI 111, total 231.9 (80% range 208–256). The largest driver is rest, travel & altitude (2.9 points toward MIN).
Matchup
Chicago Bulls rank 25 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−3.8 points against an average opponent, about 29 projected wins in 2026-27); Minnesota Timberwolves rank 11 (+2.7, about 47 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 6.5 points to Minnesota Timberwolves; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 10.2-point margin above. A 80% win probability means Minnesota Timberwolves should win about 8 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +0.6 (MIN margin)
- Player box-score production: +1.5 (MIN margin)
- Player on-court impact: +2.8 (MIN margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +2.3 (MIN margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +2.9 (MIN margin)
Rest and travel
CHI: second night of a back-to-back, third game in four nights, 353 miles of travel. MIN: 1 day(s) of rest.
Projected minutes
CHI: Caleb Wilson 30, Norman Powell 26, Josh Giddey 24, Matas Buzelis 23, Jalen Smith 22, Nic Claxton 20, Leonard Miller 18, Isaac Okoro 17, Tre Jones 17.
MIN: Ayo Dosunmu 30, Jaden McDaniels 29, LaMelo Ball 28, Rudy Gobert 28, Jonathan Kuminga 25, Terrence Shannon Jr. 24, Anthony Edwards 16, Trey Lyles 15, Joan Beringer 14.
Four factors
| CHI (this season) | MIN (this season) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 103.4 | 114.8 |
| DRtg | 117.8 | 100.8 |
| Pace | 109.8 | 104 |
| eFG% | 48.2% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 30.3% |
| FT rate | 0.383 | 0.259 |
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 49.7% |
All NBA predictions for Nov 14, 2026 · Minnesota Timberwolves · Chicago Bulls · Scorecard
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.