Bulls vs Timberwolves Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Chicago Bulls at Minnesota Timberwolves · Sat, Nov 14, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 14, 2026 prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves over the Bulls by 10.2 points, a 80% win probability, with a projected final of Bulls 111, Timberwolves 121 (total 231.9).

The model projects Minnesota Timberwolves to win by 10.2 points (80% win probability), projected score MIN 121, CHI 111, total 231.9 (80% range 208–256). The largest driver is rest, travel & altitude (2.9 points toward MIN).

Matchup

Chicago Bulls rank 25 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−3.8 points against an average opponent, about 29 projected wins in 2026-27); Minnesota Timberwolves rank 11 (+2.7, about 47 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 6.5 points to Minnesota Timberwolves; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 10.2-point margin above. A 80% win probability means Minnesota Timberwolves should win about 8 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

Rest and travel

CHI: second night of a back-to-back, third game in four nights, 353 miles of travel. MIN: 1 day(s) of rest.

Projected minutes

CHI: Caleb Wilson 30, Norman Powell 26, Josh Giddey 24, Matas Buzelis 23, Jalen Smith 22, Nic Claxton 20, Leonard Miller 18, Isaac Okoro 17, Tre Jones 17.

MIN: Ayo Dosunmu 30, Jaden McDaniels 29, LaMelo Ball 28, Rudy Gobert 28, Jonathan Kuminga 25, Terrence Shannon Jr. 24, Anthony Edwards 16, Trey Lyles 15, Joan Beringer 14.

Four factors

CHI (this season)MIN (this season)
ORtg103.4114.8
DRtg117.8100.8
Pace109.8104
eFG%48.2%57.0%
TOV%16.1%15.3%
ORB%29.2%30.3%
FT rate0.3830.259
Opp eFG%56.0%49.7%

All NBA predictions for Nov 14, 2026 · Minnesota Timberwolves · Chicago Bulls · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.