Cavaliers vs Knicks Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks · Wed, Nov 11, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 11, 2026 prediction: New York Knicks over the Cavaliers by 1.8 points, a 56% win probability, with a projected final of Cavaliers 112, Knicks 114 (total 226.3).

The model projects New York Knicks to win by 1.8 points (56% win probability), projected score NYK 114, CLE 112, total 226.3 (80% range 203–250). The largest driver is player on-court impact (1.3 points toward NYK).

Matchup

Cleveland Cavaliers rank 7 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+2.8 points against an average opponent, about 48 projected wins in 2026-27); New York Knicks rank 3 (+4.8, about 52 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 2.0 points to New York Knicks; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 1.8-point margin above. A 56% win probability means New York Knicks should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (NYK margin)
• Player box-score production: −0.2 (NYK margin)
• Player on-court impact: +1.3 (NYK margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +0.9 (NYK margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: −0.8 (NYK margin)

Rest and travel

CLE: 1 day(s) of rest, 533 miles of travel. NYK: second night of a back-to-back.

Projected minutes

CLE: Evan Mobley 32, Donovan Mitchell 32, James Harden 31, Peyton Watson 28, Jarrett Allen 25, Sam Merrill 22, Mario Hezonja 22, Jaylon Tyson 18, Meleek Thomas 14.

NYK: Jalen Brunson 34, OG Anunoby 32, Josh Hart 31, Mikal Bridges 30, Karl-Anthony Towns 30, Landry Shamet 23, Miles McBride 18, Andre Drummond 12, Tyler Kolek 12.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 11, 2026 · New York Knicks · Cleveland Cavaliers · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.