Celtics vs 76ers Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers · Tue, Nov 10, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 10, 2026 prediction: Boston Celtics over the 76ers by 0.3 points, a 51% win probability, with a projected final of Celtics 113, 76ers 113 (total 226.5).

The model projects Boston Celtics to win by 0.3 points (51% win probability), projected score PHI 113, BOS 113, total 226.5 (80% range 203–250). The largest driver is player on-court impact (1.7 points toward BOS).

Matchup

Boston Celtics rank 6 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+3.7 points against an average opponent, about 51 projected wins in 2026-27); Philadelphia 76ers rank 11 (+1.9, about 47 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 1.8 points to Boston Celtics; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 0.3-point margin above. A 51% win probability means Boston Celtics should win about 5 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (PHI margin)
• Player box-score production: +0.6 (PHI margin)
• Player on-court impact: −1.7 (PHI margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −0.8 (PHI margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +0.9 (PHI margin)

Rest and travel

BOS: 1 day(s) of rest, 694 miles of travel. PHI: 1 day(s) of rest, 667 miles of travel.

Projected minutes

BOS: Jayson Tatum 32, Derrick White 29, Paul George 28, Payton Pritchard 25, Sam Hauser 19, Jordan Walsh 17, Neemias Queta 17, Mitchell Robinson 16, Baylor Scheierman 16.

PHI: Jaylen Brown 30, Tyrese Maxey 30, LeBron James 28, Dean Wade 25, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 23, Joel Embiid 21, Anfernee Simons 19, VJ Edgecombe 18, Adem Bona 14.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 10, 2026 · Philadelphia 76ers · Boston Celtics · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.