Grizzlies vs Pelicans Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Memphis Grizzlies at New Orleans Pelicans · Fri, Nov 13, 2026 · NBA Cup - Group Play

HoopVantage's Nov 13, 2026 prediction: New Orleans Pelicans over the Grizzlies by 0.6 points, a 52% win probability, with a projected final of Grizzlies 115, Pelicans 116 (total 230.8).

The model projects New Orleans Pelicans to win by 0.6 points (52% win probability), projected score NOP 116, MEM 115, total 230.8 (80% range 207–254). The largest driver is player on-court impact (2.2 points toward MEM).

Matchup

Memphis Grizzlies rank 19 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−0.9 points against an average opponent, about 39 projected wins in 2026-27); New Orleans Pelicans rank 21 (−1.4, about 34 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 0.5 points to Memphis Grizzlies; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 0.6-point margin above. A 52% win probability means New Orleans Pelicans should win about 5 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (NOP margin)
• Player box-score production: +1.6 (NOP margin)
• Player on-court impact: −2.2 (NOP margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +0.1 (NOP margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +0.5 (NOP margin)

Rest and travel

MEM: 1 day(s) of rest, 359 miles of travel. NOP: 1 day(s) of rest.

Projected minutes

MEM: Ty Jerome 32, Cameron Boozer 25, Cedric Coward 24, Jaylen Wells 23, Jerami Grant 20, Cam Spencer 20, Scotty Pippen Jr. 18, Zach Edey 18, GG Jackson 14.

NOP: Trey Murphy III 29, Zion Williamson 28, Derik Queen 25, Jeremiah Fears 24, Saddiq Bey 23, Dejounte Murray 19, Herbert Jones 19, Bennedict Mathurin 17, Karlo Matkovic 14.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 13, 2026 · New Orleans Pelicans · Memphis Grizzlies · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.