Hawks vs Bulls Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Atlanta Hawks at Chicago Bulls · Fri, Nov 13, 2026 · NBA Cup - Group Play

HoopVantage's Nov 13, 2026 prediction: Atlanta Hawks over the Bulls by 3.7 points, a 62% win probability, with a projected final of Hawks 118, Bulls 115 (total 232.8).

The model projects Atlanta Hawks to win by 3.7 points (62% win probability), projected score CHI 115, ATL 118, total 232.8 (80% range 209–256). The largest driver is player on-court impact (2.7 points toward ATL).

Matchup

Atlanta Hawks rank 13 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+1.8 points against an average opponent, about 45 projected wins in 2026-27); Chicago Bulls rank 25 (−3.8, about 29 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 5.6 points to Atlanta Hawks; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 3.7-point margin above. A 62% win probability means Atlanta Hawks should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (CHI margin)
• Player box-score production: −1.5 (CHI margin)
• Player on-court impact: −2.7 (CHI margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −1.5 (CHI margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +1.3 (CHI margin)

Rest and travel

ATL: 3 day(s) of rest, 589 miles of travel. CHI: 1 day(s) of rest.

Projected minutes

ATL: Jalen Johnson 33, Onyeka Okongwu 32, Nickeil Alexander-Walker 27, Dyson Daniels 26, CJ McCollum 24, Aaron Wiggins 22, Luguentz Dort 20, Jock Landale 19, Kingston Flemings 17.

CHI: Caleb Wilson 31, Norman Powell 26, Matas Buzelis 25, Josh Giddey 25, Jalen Smith 22, Leonard Miller 20, Nic Claxton 19, Isaac Okoro 17, Tre Jones 17.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 13, 2026 · Chicago Bulls · Atlanta Hawks · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.