Hornets vs Suns Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Charlotte Hornets at Phoenix Suns · Thu, Nov 12, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 12, 2026 prediction: Phoenix Suns over the Hornets by 0.2 points, a 51% win probability, with a projected final of Hornets 113, Suns 113 (total 225.5).

The model projects Phoenix Suns to win by 0.2 points (51% win probability), projected score PHX 113, CHA 113, total 225.5 (80% range 202–249). The largest driver is player box-score production (0.8 points toward PHX).

Matchup

Charlotte Hornets rank 18 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−0.8 points against an average opponent, about 39 projected wins in 2026-27); Phoenix Suns rank 20 (−1.0, about 37 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 0.2 points to Charlotte Hornets; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 0.2-point margin above. A 51% win probability means Phoenix Suns should win about 5 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (PHX margin)
• Player box-score production: +0.8 (PHX margin)
• Player on-court impact: −0.7 (PHX margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −0.4 (PHX margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: −0.2 (PHX margin)

Rest and travel

CHA: 2 day(s) of rest, 1,779 miles of travel. PHX: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights.

Projected minutes

CHA: Dennis Schroder 31, Brandon Miller 30, Grayson Allen 28, Moussa Diabate 26, Sion James 25, Naz Reid 23, Royce O'Neale 16, Ryan Kalkbrenner 14, Tidjane Salaun 13.

PHX: Devin Booker 29, Dillon Brooks 29, Khaman Maluach 29, Miles Bridges 28, Jalen Green 25, Collin Gillespie 21, Jordan Goodwin 17, Luke Kennard 17, Ryan Dunn 12.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 12, 2026 · Phoenix Suns · Charlotte Hornets · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.