Knicks vs Pacers Prediction, Projected Score & Pick
New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers · Fri, Nov 13, 2026 · NBA Cup - Group Play
HoopVantage's Nov 13, 2026 prediction: New York Knicks over the Pacers by 5.1 points, a 66% win probability, with a projected final of Knicks 116, Pacers 111 (total 227.2). Against the spread the model leans Knicks -2.5: its margin is 2.6 points less favourable to Pacers than the market's. On the total the model leans under 233.5 (projection 227.2).
The model projects New York Knicks to win by 5.1 points (66% win probability), projected score IND 111, NYK 116, total 227.2 (80% range 204–251). The largest driver is player on-court impact (3.2 points toward NYK).
Matchup
New York Knicks rank 2 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+5.2 points against an average opponent, about 52 projected wins in 2026-27); Indiana Pacers rank 22 (−1.5, about 35 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 6.7 points to New York Knicks; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 5.1-point margin above. A 66% win probability means New York Knicks should win about 7 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +0.6 (IND margin)
- Player box-score production: −1.9 (IND margin)
- Player on-court impact: −3.2 (IND margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −1.7 (IND margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +1.0 (IND margin)
Rest and travel
NYK: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights, 644 miles of travel. IND: 1 day(s) of rest.
Projected minutes
NYK: Jalen Brunson 34, OG Anunoby 32, Josh Hart 31, Karl-Anthony Towns 29, Mikal Bridges 26, Landry Shamet 24, Miles McBride 16, Tyler Kolek 13, Andre Drummond 13.
IND: Andrew Nembhard 32, Kelly Oubre Jr. 27, Pascal Siakam 25, Aaron Nesmith 24, Tyrese Haliburton 22, Quenton Jackson 20, Obi Toppin 18, Jay Huff 18, Jarace Walker 17.
Four factors
| NYK (this season) | IND (this season) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 106.6 | 109.7 |
| DRtg | 106.4 | 109.5 |
| Pace | 103 | 104.9 |
| eFG% | 49.8% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 22.7% |
| FT rate | 0.261 | 0.296 |
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 51.6% |
All NBA predictions for Nov 13, 2026 · Indiana Pacers · New York Knicks · Scorecard
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.