Magic vs Jazz Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Orlando Magic at Utah Jazz · Wed, Nov 11, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 11, 2026 prediction: Orlando Magic over the Jazz by 3.1 points, a 60% win probability, with a projected final of Magic 117, Jazz 114 (total 231.4).

The model projects Orlando Magic to win by 3.1 points (60% win probability), projected score UTA 114, ORL 117, total 231.4 (80% range 208–255). The largest driver is player on-court impact (2.3 points toward ORL).

Matchup

Orlando Magic rank 16 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+0.2 points against an average opponent, about 41 projected wins in 2026-27); Utah Jazz rank 25 (−4.5, about 29 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 4.7 points to Orlando Magic; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 3.1-point margin above. A 60% win probability means Orlando Magic should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (UTA margin)
• Player box-score production: −1.5 (UTA margin)
• Player on-court impact: −2.3 (UTA margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −0.8 (UTA margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +0.8 (UTA margin)

Rest and travel

ORL: second night of a back-to-back, 532 miles of travel, at altitude. UTA: second night of a back-to-back, third game in four nights.

Projected minutes

ORL: Franz Wagner 33, Jalen Suggs 29, Wendell Carter Jr. 28, Desmond Bane 28, Tristan da Silva 27, Anthony Black 23, Paolo Banchero 22, Jamal Cain 14, Jase Richardson 12.

UTA: Keyonte George 26, Lauri Markkanen 26, Mo Bamba 26, Jaren Jackson Jr. 24, Darryn Peterson 23, Ace Bailey 23, Jaxson Hayes 16, Isaiah Collier 15, Svi Mykhailiuk 14.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 11, 2026 · Utah Jazz · Orlando Magic · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.