Nets vs Grizzlies Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Brooklyn Nets at Memphis Grizzlies · Sat, Nov 14, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 14, 2026 prediction: Memphis Grizzlies over the Nets by 4.0 points, a 63% win probability, with a projected final of Nets 112, Grizzlies 116 (total 228.2).

The model projects Memphis Grizzlies to win by 4.0 points (63% win probability), projected score MEM 116, BKN 112, total 228.2 (80% range 205–252). The largest driver is player on-court impact (2.5 points toward MEM).

Matchup

Brooklyn Nets rank 29 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−5.3 points against an average opponent, about 25 projected wins in 2026-27); Memphis Grizzlies rank 18 (−0.9, about 39 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 4.4 points to Memphis Grizzlies; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 4.0-point margin above. A 63% win probability means Memphis Grizzlies should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (MEM margin)
• Player box-score production: +0.8 (MEM margin)
• Player on-court impact: +2.5 (MEM margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +1.2 (MEM margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: −1.2 (MEM margin)

Rest and travel

BKN: 2 day(s) of rest, 359 miles of travel. MEM: second night of a back-to-back, third game in four nights, 359 miles of travel.

Projected minutes

BKN: Julius Randle 28, Michael Porter Jr. 26, Keon Ellis 24, Mikel Brown Jr. 21, Nolan Traore 20, Noah Clowney 19, Day'Ron Sharpe 18, Chaney Johnson 17, Terance Mann 16.

MEM: Ty Jerome 32, Cameron Boozer 25, Cedric Coward 24, Jaylen Wells 23, Jerami Grant 20, Cam Spencer 20, Scotty Pippen Jr. 18, Zach Edey 18, GG Jackson 14.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 14, 2026 · Memphis Grizzlies · Brooklyn Nets · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.