Nets vs Pelicans Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Brooklyn Nets at New Orleans Pelicans · Wed, Nov 11, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 11, 2026 prediction: New Orleans Pelicans over the Nets by 3.3 points, a 61% win probability, with a projected final of Nets 114, Pelicans 117 (total 230.6).

The model projects New Orleans Pelicans to win by 3.3 points (61% win probability), projected score NOP 117, BKN 114, total 230.6 (80% range 207–254). The largest driver is player box-score production (1.8 points toward NOP).

Matchup

Brooklyn Nets rank 27 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−4.7 points against an average opponent, about 28 projected wins in 2026-27); New Orleans Pelicans rank 21 (−2.2, about 34 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 2.5 points to New Orleans Pelicans; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 3.3-point margin above. A 61% win probability means New Orleans Pelicans should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (NOP margin)
• Player box-score production: +1.8 (NOP margin)
• Player on-court impact: −0.2 (NOP margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +0.8 (NOP margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +0.2 (NOP margin)

Rest and travel

BKN: 2 day(s) of rest, 443 miles of travel. NOP: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights, 1,920 miles of travel.

Projected minutes

BKN: Julius Randle 31, Michael Porter Jr. 29, Keon Ellis 23, Egor Demin 22, Mikel Brown Jr. 20, Noah Clowney 19, Chaney Johnson 19, Day'Ron Sharpe 18, Nolan Traore 17.

NOP: Trey Murphy III 29, Dejounte Murray 27, Zion Williamson 27, Saddiq Bey 21, Jeremiah Fears 21, Derik Queen 21, Jordan Poole 16, Bennedict Mathurin 16, Herbert Jones 15.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 11, 2026 · New Orleans Pelicans · Brooklyn Nets · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.