Pistons vs Wizards Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Detroit Pistons at Washington Wizards · Thu, Nov 12, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 12, 2026 prediction: Detroit Pistons over the Wizards by 10.7 points, a 81% win probability, with a projected final of Pistons 119, Wizards 108 (total 227.5).

The model projects Detroit Pistons to win by 10.7 points (81% win probability), projected score WAS 108, DET 119, total 227.5 (80% range 204–251). The largest driver is player on-court impact (5.2 points toward DET).

Matchup

Detroit Pistons rank 3 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+4.9 points against an average opponent, about 54 projected wins in 2026-27); Washington Wizards rank 28 (−4.5, about 29 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 9.4 points to Detroit Pistons; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 10.7-point margin above. A 81% win probability means Detroit Pistons should win about 8 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (WAS margin)
• Player box-score production: −2.2 (WAS margin)
• Player on-court impact: −5.2 (WAS margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −2.1 (WAS margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: −1.8 (WAS margin)

Rest and travel

DET: 2 day(s) of rest, 396 miles of travel. WAS: second night of a back-to-back, third game in four nights, 492 miles of travel.

Projected minutes

DET: Cade Cunningham 34, Duncan Robinson 27, Ausar Thompson 26, Daniss Jenkins 24, John Collins 24, Paul Reed 23, Kevin Huerter 18, Javonte Green 17, Jalen Duren 13.

WAS: Anthony Davis 32, Trae Young 32, Kyshawn George 30, Bilal Coulibaly 27, AJ Dybantsa 21, Bub Carrington 21, Alex Sarr 20, Khris Middleton 16, Tre Johnson 15.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 12, 2026 · Washington Wizards · Detroit Pistons · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.