Raptors vs 76ers Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Toronto Raptors at Philadelphia 76ers · Thu, Nov 12, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 12, 2026 prediction: Philadelphia 76ers over the Raptors by 3.3 points, a 61% win probability, with a projected final of Raptors 112, 76ers 115 (total 227.4).

The model projects Philadelphia 76ers to win by 3.3 points (61% win probability), projected score PHI 115, TOR 112, total 227.4 (80% range 204–251). The largest driver is rest, travel & altitude (2.8 points toward PHI).

Matchup

Toronto Raptors rank 9 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+3.2 points against an average opponent, about 48 projected wins in 2026-27); Philadelphia 76ers rank 8 (+3.2, about 49 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 0.0 points to Philadelphia 76ers; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 3.3-point margin above. A 61% win probability means Philadelphia 76ers should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (PHI margin)
• Player box-score production: +1.1 (PHI margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −1.2 (PHI margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +2.8 (PHI margin)

Rest and travel

TOR: second night of a back-to-back, third game in four nights, 337 miles of travel. PHI: 1 day(s) of rest.

Projected minutes

TOR: RJ Barrett 30, Scottie Barnes 30, Immanuel Quickley 28, Ja'Kobe Walter 27, Jamal Shead 22, Collin Murray-Boyles 18, Jakob Poeltl 18, Allen Graves 15, Malachi Smith 14.

PHI: Jaylen Brown 30, Tyrese Maxey 30, LeBron James 29, Joel Embiid 29, VJ Edgecombe 27, Dean Wade 22, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 21, Anfernee Simons 19, Adem Bona 10.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 12, 2026 · Philadelphia 76ers · Toronto Raptors · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.