Spurs vs Bulls Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

San Antonio Spurs at Chicago Bulls · Wed, Nov 11, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 11, 2026 prediction: San Antonio Spurs over the Bulls by 10.2 points, a 80% win probability, with a projected final of Spurs 120, Bulls 110 (total 230.7).

The model projects San Antonio Spurs to win by 10.2 points (80% win probability), projected score CHI 110, SAS 120, total 230.7 (80% range 207–254). The largest driver is player on-court impact (6.0 points toward SAS).

Matchup

San Antonio Spurs rank 1 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+7.6 points against an average opponent, about 60 projected wins in 2026-27); Chicago Bulls rank 28 (−5.0, about 28 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 12.6 points to San Antonio Spurs; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 10.2-point margin above. A 80% win probability means San Antonio Spurs should win about 8 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (CHI margin)
• Player box-score production: −3.7 (CHI margin)
• Player on-court impact: −6.0 (CHI margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −3.0 (CHI margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +1.9 (CHI margin)

Rest and travel

SAS: 1 day(s) of rest, 1,450 miles of travel. CHI: 2 day(s) of rest.

Projected minutes

SAS: Tobias Harris 27, Victor Wembanyama 27, Devin Vassell 27, Dylan Harper 27, De'Aaron Fox 26, Stephon Castle 25, Julian Champagnie 24, Keldon Johnson 18, Luke Kornet 12.

CHI: Caleb Wilson 29, Norman Powell 24, Matas Buzelis 23, Josh Giddey 23, Leonard Miller 21, Jalen Smith 20, Nic Claxton 20, Isaac Okoro 17, Tre Jones 16.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 11, 2026 · Chicago Bulls · San Antonio Spurs · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.