Trail Blazers vs Kings Prediction, Projected Score & Pick
Portland Trail Blazers at Sacramento Kings · Fri, Nov 13, 2026 · NBA Cup - Group Play
HoopVantage's Nov 13, 2026 prediction: Portland Trail Blazers over the Kings by 4.6 points, a 65% win probability, with a projected final of Trail Blazers 117, Kings 112 (total 229.3).
The model projects Portland Trail Blazers to win by 4.6 points (65% win probability), projected score SAC 112, POR 117, total 229.3 (80% range 206–253). The largest driver is player on-court impact (3.0 points toward POR).
Matchup
Portland Trail Blazers rank 14 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+1.4 points against an average opponent, about 43 projected wins in 2026-27); Sacramento Kings rank 30 (−5.8, about 24 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 7.2 points to Portland Trail Blazers; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 4.6-point margin above. A 65% win probability means Portland Trail Blazers should win about 7 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +0.6 (SAC margin)
- Player box-score production: −2.0 (SAC margin)
- Player on-court impact: −3.0 (SAC margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −2.2 (SAC margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +1.9 (SAC margin)
Rest and travel
POR: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights, 484 miles of travel. SAC: 2 day(s) of rest.
Projected minutes
POR: Damian Lillard 28, Deni Avdija 27, Jrue Holiday 26, Ja Morant 25, Toumani Camara 22, Donovan Clingan 22, Sidy Cissoko 20, Scoot Henderson 19, Branden Carlson 13.
SAC: Domantas Sabonis 32, Zach LaVine 31, Darius Acuff Jr. 30, Precious Achiuwa 27, De'Andre Hunter 25, Maxime Raynaud 21, Emanuel Sharp 14, Dylan Cardwell 14, Keegan Murray 11.
Four factors
| POR (2025-26) | SAC (this season) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 111 | 104.4 |
| DRtg | 111.3 | 120.1 |
| Pace | 103.6 | 105.6 |
| eFG% | 53.4% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 24.4% |
| FT rate | 0.280 | 0.250 |
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 59.2% |
All NBA predictions for Nov 13, 2026 · Sacramento Kings · Portland Trail Blazers · Scorecard
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.