2026 schedule
Campbell Fighting Camels
2026 season so far
Campbell is 7-1 against the 109th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 32.9 and allowing 24.9 points per game (+8 per game).
Campbell plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: at UAlbany in Week 9. We project Campbell 26, UAlbany 27 — Campbell wins 48% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
13 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- at
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
0-1 · SOS #113
Win 49-37
Week 1
Our number· pregame
East Tennessee State by 9.8
Total 61.2
DraftKings
ETSU -7
Total 56.5
Final Campbell by 12. Campbell beat the spread. 86 points — over the 56.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: East Tennessee State -7 · O/U 56.5 (open 55.5) · ML +207 / -267 · East Tennessee State 69% no-vig · model vs market +2.8 pts, +5 pct pts (East Tennessee State view)
ESPN+ William B. Greene Jr. StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded gamesLeans high scoring: hit - vs
Western Carolina Catamounts
3-5 · SOS #27
Sat, Sep 5, 10:20 PM
Week 1
Proj 30.6-35.2 · 38%
Our number· pregame
Western Carolina by 4.6
Total 65.8
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Barker-Lane StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded games - vs
Western Carolina Catamounts
1-1 · SOS #27
Win 28-19
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Western Carolina by 3.5
Total 67.5
Book line
Not posted
Final Campbell by 9. 47 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Barker-Lane StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesUpset alert: hitLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded games - at
Florida Gators
2-0 · SOS #12
Loss 3-52
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Florida by 37.1
Total 54.7
DraftKings
FLA -51.5
Total 66.5
Final Florida by 49. Campbell beat the spread. 55 points — under the 66.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Florida -51.5 (open Florida -50) · O/U 66.75 (open 65.75) · model vs market -14.4 pts (Florida view)
SECN+ Ben Hill Griffin StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: hitBlowout brewingBlowout brewing: Record 137 hits, 30 misses (82% hit rate) over 167 graded gamesBlowout brewing: hit - vs
North Carolina A&T Aggies
0-4 · SOS #118
Win 42-14
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Campbell by 11.9
Total 50.5
DraftKings
CAM -20.5
Total 56.5
Final Campbell by 28. Campbell beat the spread. 56 points — under the 56.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Campbell -20.5 (open Campbell -18.5) · O/U 56.5 · ML +770 / -1520 · Campbell 89% no-vig · model vs market -8.6 pts, -11 pct pts (Campbell view)
Barker-Lane Stadium - at
Hampton Pirates
1-4 · SOS #141
Win 44-20
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Campbell by 11.2
Total 56.2
DraftKings
CAM -20.5
Total 54.5
Final Campbell by 24. Campbell beat the spread. 64 points — over the 54.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Campbell -20.5 (open Campbell -18.5) · O/U 54.5 (open 57.5) · ML -1400 / +740 · Hampton 11% no-vig · model vs market +9.3 pts, +12 pct pts (Hampton view)
Game-time weather: Mostly cloudy, 65°F, Wind 15 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KLFI)Armstrong Stadium - at
North Carolina Central Eagles
2-4 · SOS #144
Win 38-31
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Campbell by 1.2
Total 58.4
DraftKings
CAM -13.5
Total 57.5
Final Campbell by 7. North Carolina Central beat the spread. 69 points — over the 57.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Campbell -13.5 (open Campbell -8.5) · O/U 57.5 (open 60.5) · ML -524 / +369 · North Carolina Central 20% no-vig · model vs market +12.3 pts, +27 pct pts (North Carolina Central view)
Game-time weather: Fog/mist, 63°F, Wind 8 mph NNE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KRDU)O'Kelly-Riddick StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesCoin flip: hit - vs
Towson Tigers
0-8 · SOS #37
Win 24-20
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Campbell by 8.1
Total 60.3
DraftKings
CAM -11.5
Total 56.5
Final Campbell by 4. Towson beat the spread. 44 points — under the 56.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Campbell -11.5 (open Campbell -12.5) · O/U 56.5 (open 62.5) · ML +353 / -496 · Campbell 79% no-vig · model vs market -3.4 pts, -9 pct pts (Campbell view)
Game-time weather: Cloudy, 56°F, Wind 13 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KHRJ)Barker-Lane StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded gamesLeans high scoring: missedPattern · Watching Under · high total, close game: Record 30 hits, 30 misses (50% hit rate) over 60 graded gamesUnder · high total, close game: hit · Under · high total, close game → went under 26 of 38 since week 3 · base 54% - at
Maine Black Bears
1-7 · SOS #63
Win 35-6
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Campbell by 5.7
Total 53.1
Book line
Not posted
Final Campbell by 29. 41 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Mostly clear, 55°F, Wind 3 mph NNW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KBGR)Harold Alfond Sports StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesUpset alert: missedBlowout AlertBlowout Alert: Record 62 hits, 47 misses, 1 push (57% hit rate) over 109 graded games - at
UAlbany Great Danes
5-3 · SOS #106
Sat, Oct 31, 4:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 26-27 · 48%
Our number
UAlbany by 1
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Sunny, 51°F, Wind 7 mph NW, 0% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:37 AM EDTBob Ford Field at Tom & Mary Casey StadiumExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded games - vs
Stony Brook Seawolves
5-3 · SOS #137
Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 31-29 · 57%
Our number
Campbell by 2
Total 60
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Barker-Lane StadiumExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded games - at
Elon Phoenix
4-4 · SOS #151
Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 26-25 · 51%
Our number
Campbell by 1
Total 51
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Rhodes StadiumExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded games - vs
Monmouth Hawks
6-2 · SOS #101
Sat, Nov 21, 6:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 30-32 · 46%
Our number
Monmouth by 2
Total 62
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Barker-Lane StadiumExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded games
Times shown in your local time
Campbell Fighting Camels stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-19.2
Adj. offense
18.2
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
37.4
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 32.9 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 24.9 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 7.01 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.86 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 175.6 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 311.5 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 120.9 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 269.0 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.00 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.13 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 1.88 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.13 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.15 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.09 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 45.7% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 42.9% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 15.2% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 12.9% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 14.4% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 12.4% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.06 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.33 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 9 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 8 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 69.5 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.14 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.17 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.02 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.13 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 47.8% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 48.7% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 19.3% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 32.2% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 27.9% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 41.8% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 34.3% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 38.9% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 44.9% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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