2026 schedule
Hampton Pirates
2026 season so far
Hampton is 1-7 against the 141st-toughest schedule so far, scoring 17 and allowing 36.3 points per game (-19.3 per game).
Hampton plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: at Towson in Week 9. We project Hampton 19, Towson 36 — Hampton wins 13% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- vs
Virginia Lynchburg Dragons
No record · SOS #166
Win 45-0
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Hampton by 10.4
Total 58.2
Book line
Not posted
Final Hampton by 45. 45 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Armstrong Stadium - at
Maryland Terrapins
1-0 · SOS #40
Loss 0-62
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Maryland by 41.8
Total 53.6
DraftKings
MD -45.5
Total 56.5
Final Maryland by 62. Maryland beat the spread. 62 points — over the 56.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Maryland -45.5 · O/U 56.25 (open 56) · model vs market -3.7 pts (Maryland view)
BTN SECU Stadium - vs
Bryant Bulldogs
2-1 · SOS #132
Loss 3-31
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Bryant by 2
Total 51.6
DraftKings
BRY -3.5
Total 51.5
Final Bryant by 28. Bryant beat the spread. 34 points — under the 51.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Bryant -3.5 · O/U 51.5 (open 48.5) · ML -166 / +133 · Hampton 41% no-vig · model vs market +1.5 pts, +4 pct pts (Hampton view)
Armstrong Stadium - at
Norfolk State Spartans
2-2 · SOS #153
Loss 21-42
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Norfolk State by 10.2
Total 51.4
DraftKings
NORF -5.5
Total 49.5
Final Norfolk State by 21. Norfolk State beat the spread. 63 points — over the 49.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Norfolk State -5.5 (open Norfolk State -8.5) · O/U 49.5 (open 50.5) · ML +216 / -279 · Norfolk State 70% no-vig · model vs market +4.7 pts, +5 pct pts (Norfolk State view)
William "Dick" Price Stadium - vs
Campbell Fighting Camels
4-1 · SOS #109
Loss 20-44
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Campbell by 11.2
Total 56.2
DraftKings
CAM -20.5
Total 54.5
Final Campbell by 24. Campbell beat the spread. 64 points — over the 54.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Campbell -20.5 (open Campbell -18.5) · O/U 54.5 (open 57.5) · ML -1400 / +740 · Hampton 11% no-vig · model vs market +9.3 pts, +12 pct pts (Hampton view)
Armstrong Stadium - vs
Howard Bison
2-3 · SOS #47
Loss 13-27
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Howard by 8.5
Total 53.3
DraftKings
HOW -10
Total 45.5
Final Howard by 14. Howard beat the spread. 40 points — under the 45.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Howard -10 (open Howard -9.5) · O/U 45.5 (open 50.5) · ML -358 / +269 · Hampton 26% no-vig · model vs market +1.5 pts, +3 pct pts (Hampton view)
Audi Field - at
Sacred Heart Pioneers
3-4 · SOS #149
Loss 21-35
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Sacred Heart by 16.2
Total 48.6
DraftKings
SHU -14.5
Total 43.5
Final Sacred Heart by 14. Hampton beat the spread. 56 points — over the 43.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Sacred Heart -14.5 (open Sacred Heart -13.5) · O/U 43.5 (open 45.5) · ML +544 / -880 · Sacred Heart 85% no-vig · model vs market +1.7 pts, +0 pct pts (Sacred Heart view)
Campus Field - vs
Monmouth Hawks
6-2 · SOS #101
Loss 13-49
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Monmouth by 21.3
Total 60.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Monmouth by 36. 62 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Armstrong Stadium - at
Towson Tigers
0-8 · SOS #37
Sat, Oct 31, 5:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 19-36 · 13%
Our number
Towson by 17
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Johnny Unitas Stadium - at
Elon Phoenix
4-4 · SOS #151
Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 13-35 · 7%
Our number
Elon by 22
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Rhodes Stadium - vs
North Carolina A&T Aggies
3-5 · SOS #118
Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 25-29 · 40%
Our number
North Carolina A&T by 4
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Armstrong Stadium - at
Stony Brook Seawolves
5-3 · SOS #137
Sat, Nov 21, 5:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 17-41 · 6%
Our number
Stony Brook by 24
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kenneth P. LaValle Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Hampton Pirates stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-43.7
Adj. offense
4.8
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
48.5
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 17.0 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 36.3 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.24 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 6.19 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 127.0 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 186.4 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 203.3 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 241.8 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.13 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.25 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 0.63 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 3.25 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | -0.11 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.12 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 36.1% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 48.3% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 9.9% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 14.0% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 11.4% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 16.9% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 2.47 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.90 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 11 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 8 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 59.8 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | -0.06 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.16 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.07 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.19 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 36.8% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 34.4% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 23.0% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 30.9% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 34.6% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 38.7% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 44.4% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 51.5% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 57.0% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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