Arizona Diamondbacks: projections & ratings
National League West · Home park: Chase Field (run environment +5.3%)
Ratings
Arizona Diamondbacks: 4.56 runs scored and 4.51 allowed per game over 162 games. Offense rating +0.22 runs per game versus league (regressed); run prevention +0.18 (negative is better).
- vs left-handed pitching: +9 pts wOBA against its own average
- vs right-handed pitching: -4 pts
- Defense (Outs Above Average, last season): +8
- Bullpen rested: 100% (0 weighted pitches over three days)
Schedule: recent results
- Sunday, September 27, 2026: AZ @ SD — AZ 4 – 9 SD · Final. Michael Soroka vs Randy Vásquez; projected AZ 4.9–4.1 SD, 8.9 runs, AZ 56% to win.
- Saturday, September 26, 2026: AZ @ SD — AZ 7 – 10 SD · Final. Taylor Clarke vs Walker Buehler; projected AZ 4.5–4.7 SD, 9.2 runs, SD 54% to win.
- Friday, September 25, 2026: AZ @ SD — AZ 11 – 4 SD · Final. Brandon Pfaadt vs Casey Mize; projected AZ 4.4–4.1 SD, 8.5 runs, AZ 50% to win.
- Thursday, September 24, 2026: AZ @ COL — AZ 12 – 8 COL · Final. Eduardo Rodriguez vs Tanner Gordon; projected AZ 6.3–4.7 COL, 11.0 runs, AZ 61% to win.
Most recent lineup
- Lars Nootbaar (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.318
- Ketel Marte (bats S) — projected wOBA 0.352
- Geraldo Perdomo (bats S) — projected wOBA 0.337
- Nolan Arenado (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.32
- Corbin Carroll (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.344
- Pavin Smith (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.318
- Tim Tawa (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.297
- James McCann (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.308
- Jordan Lawlar (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.305
Bullpen workload
- Brandyn Garcia: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +5.4 pts
- Kevin Ginkel: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +5.1 pts
- Justin Martinez: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +2.8 pts
- Juan Morillo: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +2.6 pts
- Zac Gallen: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -0.1 pts
- Taylor Clarke: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -0.2 pts
- Dennis Santana: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -0.3 pts
- Jonathan Loáisiga: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -0.7 pts
- Ryne Nelson: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -1.1 pts
- Jose Cabrera: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -5.2 pts
Rotation projections
| Pitcher | GS | Proj. K% | Proj. BB% | Exp. IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 32 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 5.6 |
| Merrill Kelly | 29 | 20.6% | 9.0% | 5.2 |
| Michael Soroka | 21 | 23.8% | 10.3% | 5.1 |
| Zac Gallen | 20 | 20.9% | 8.6% | 5.1 |
| Brandon Pfaadt | 19 | 20.2% | 6.8% | 5.9 |
| Ryne Nelson | 15 | 18.9% | 7.5% | 5.7 |
| Zack Littell | 14 | 17.3% | 6.5% | 4.9 |
| Mitch Bratt | 10 | 17.0% | 12.2% | 4.6 |
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not advice of any kind and nothing here guarantees any result. How the numbers are made: Methodology · how they have done: Track record.
BullpenEdge publishes MLB statistics and model projections for analysis and entertainment. Projections are estimates, can be wrong, and are not advice of any kind. Not affiliated with Major League Baseball. See the Disclaimer and Methodology.