St. Louis Cardinals: projections & ratings
National League Central · Home park: Busch Stadium (run environment -3.1%)
Ratings
St. Louis Cardinals: 4.44 runs scored and 4.62 allowed per game over 162 games. Offense rating -0.09 runs per game versus league (regressed); run prevention +0.16 (negative is better).
- vs left-handed pitching: +3 pts wOBA against its own average
- vs right-handed pitching: -2 pts
- Defense (Outs Above Average, last season): +35
- Bullpen rested: 100% (0 weighted pitches over three days)
Schedule: recent results
- Sunday, September 27, 2026: STL @ MIL — STL 4 – 6 MIL · Final. Andre Pallante vs Jacob Misiorowski; projected STL 3.2–4.8 MIL, 8.0 runs, MIL 71% to win.
- Saturday, September 26, 2026: STL @ MIL — STL 2 – 3 MIL · Final. Quinn Mathews vs Dustin May; projected STL 4.2–4.8 MIL, 8.9 runs, MIL 60% to win.
- Friday, September 25, 2026: STL @ MIL — STL 4 – 8 MIL · Final. Michael McGreevy vs Robert Gasser; projected STL 4.0–4.7 MIL, 8.7 runs, MIL 61% to win.
- Thursday, September 24, 2026: STL @ PIT — STL 1 – 2 PIT · Final. Kyle Leahy vs Paul Skenes; projected STL 3.4–4.3 PIT, 7.7 runs, PIT 63% to win.
Most recent lineup
- Jordan Walker (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.314
- Iván Herrera (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.336
- Leo Bernal (bats S) — projected wOBA 0.323
- Nolan Gorman (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.296
- Thomas Saggese (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.292
- Nathan Church (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.29
- José Fermín (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.297
- César Prieto (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.283
- Pedro Pagés (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.285
Bullpen workload
- Luis Gastelum: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +5.2 pts
- Cade Winquest: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +1.2 pts
- Ryne Stanek: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league 0.0 pts
- Cooper Hjerpe: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -0.4 pts
- Hancel Rincon: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -0.6 pts
- Brycen Mautz: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -0.9 pts
- Riley O'Brien: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -2.3 pts
- George Soriano: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -2.3 pts
- Gordon Graceffo: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -2.4 pts
- Justin Bruihl: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -5.1 pts
Rotation projections
| Pitcher | GS | Proj. K% | Proj. BB% | Exp. IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Liberatore | 31 | 20.7% | 8.5% | 5.1 |
| Michael McGreevy | 31 | 16.3% | 7.0% | 5.1 |
| Kyle Leahy | 30 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 4.0 |
| Andre Pallante | 29 | 16.3% | 9.5% | 5.3 |
| Quinn Mathews | 9 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 5.4 |
| Hunter Dobbins | 8 | 20.4% | 9.6% | 5.0 |
| Brycen Mautz | 1 | 24.0% | 12.4% | 4.0 |
| Caleb Ferguson | 1 | 22.2% | 10.8% | 4.2 |
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not advice of any kind and nothing here guarantees any result. How the numbers are made: Methodology · how they have done: Track record.
BullpenEdge publishes MLB statistics and model projections for analysis and entertainment. Projections are estimates, can be wrong, and are not advice of any kind. Not affiliated with Major League Baseball. See the Disclaimer and Methodology.