Washington Nationals: projections & ratings
National League East · Home park: Nationals Park (run environment +6.7%)
Ratings
Washington Nationals: 5.07 runs scored and 5.03 allowed per game over 162 games. Offense rating +0.22 runs per game versus league (regressed); run prevention +0.72 (negative is better).
- vs left-handed pitching: -1 pts wOBA against its own average
- vs right-handed pitching: +1 pts
- Defense (Outs Above Average, last season): -33
- Bullpen rested: 100% (0 weighted pitches over three days)
Schedule: recent results
- Sunday, September 27, 2026: NYM @ WSH — NYM 4 – 6 WSH · Final. Sean Manaea vs DJ Herz; projected NYM 5.1–4.3 WSH, 9.4 runs, NYM 56% to win.
- Saturday, September 26, 2026: NYM @ WSH — NYM 7 – 1 WSH · Final. Jonah Tong vs Connelly Early; projected NYM 5.0–4.7 WSH, 9.6 runs, NYM 50% to win.
- Friday, September 25, 2026: NYM @ WSH — NYM 6 – 7 WSH · Final. Jefry Yan vs Andrew Alvarez; projected NYM 5.4–4.7 WSH, 10.1 runs, NYM 54% to win.
Most recent lineup
- James Wood (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.355
- Andrés Chaparro (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.329
- Brady House (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.294
- CJ Abrams (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.329
- Dylan Crews (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.293
- Jacob Young (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.296
- Daylen Lile (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.322
- Harry Ford (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.308
- Nasim Nuñez (bats S) — projected wOBA 0.275
Bullpen workload
- Will Dion: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +4.5 pts
- Erik Tolman: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +0.5 pts
- Gus Varland: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -1.1 pts
- Brad Lord: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -1.5 pts
- Riley Cornelio: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -2.1 pts
- Yovanny Cruz: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -2.4 pts
- Jake Irvin: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -3.2 pts
- Jack Sinclair: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -3.5 pts
- Luis Perales: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -3.9 pts
- Josiah Gray: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -4.3 pts
- Richard Lovelady: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -5.2 pts
- Jackson Kent: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -6.2 pts
Rotation projections
| Pitcher | GS | Proj. K% | Proj. BB% | Exp. IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cavalli | 32 | 26.1% | 9.1% | 5.5 |
| Jake Irvin | 20 | 19.2% | 9.9% | 5.0 |
| Connelly Early | 18 | 25.1% | 10.0% | 5.0 |
| Andrew Alvarez | 17 | 23.4% | 11.1% | 5.3 |
| Miles Mikolas | 11 | 14.8% | 5.8% | 5.0 |
| PJ Poulin | 11 | 19.8% | 12.4% | 2.7 |
| Jackson Kent | 7 | 18.8% | 12.5% | 4.8 |
| Carson Palmquist | 6 | 17.8% | 13.4% | 3.0 |
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not advice of any kind and nothing here guarantees any result. How the numbers are made: Methodology · how they have done: Track record.
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