NFL Week 2 Predictions & Projected Scores (2026)
Updated Oct 29, 2026
Week 2 of the 2026 NFL season has 16 games on our board. The closest projected matchup is Commanders at Cowboys (0.8-point margin), the highest projected total is Commanders at Cowboys (54.2 points) and the lowest is Eagles at Titans (41.3). 4 games are rated a toss-up (neither side above 58%).
16 games have finished so far: the model picked the winner in 9 of them (56%).
Power rankings · Playoff predictions · How accurate are we?
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Every game
CSV download · Sports Pro- FinalPrime Video
Lions25final 31
Bills29final 41Final: Lions 31, Bills 41. We projected Bills 29-25 (64%) — winner called correctly.
Game-time weather: 67°F, Wind 4 mph.Recorded at kickoff · nflverseOur numberBUF by 4.5Total 54Closing consensusBUF -5.5Total 54.5Our number — BUF by 4.5 · Total 54 | Closing consensus — BUF -5.5 · Total 54.5
Final BUF by 10. BUF covered the spread. 72 points — over the 54.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Bills 64% · total 54Full preview → - FinalFox
Panthers19final 34
Falcons27final 3Final: Panthers 34, Falcons 3. We projected Falcons 27-19 (74%) — the model missed this one.
Our numberATL by 8Total 46.7Closing consensusCAR -2.5Total 43.5Our number — ATL by 8 · Total 46.7 | Closing consensus — CAR -2.5 · Total 43.5
Final CAR by 31. CAR covered the spread. 37 points — under the 43.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Falcons 74% · total 46.7Full preview → - FinalFox
Vikings23final 9
Bears25final 3Final: Vikings 9, Bears 3. We projected Bears 25-23 (57%) — the model missed this one.
Game-time weather: 68°F, Wind 8 mph.Recorded at kickoff · nflverseOur numberCHI by 2.1Total 47.1Closing consensusCHI -4.5Total 46.5Our number — CHI by 2.1 · Total 47.1 | Closing consensus — CHI -4.5 · Total 46.5
Final MIN by 6. MIN covered the spread. 12 points — under the 46.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Bears 57% · total 47.1Full preview → - FinalFox
Eagles25final 24
Titans17final 20Final: Eagles 24, Titans 20. We projected Eagles 25-17 (74%) — winner called correctly.
Game-time weather: 92°F, Wind 5 mph.Recorded at kickoff · nflverseOur numberPHI by 8.1Total 41.2Closing consensusPHI -7Total 39.5Our number — PHI by 8.1 · Total 41.2 | Closing consensus — PHI -7 · Total 39.5
Final PHI by 4. TEN covered the spread. 44 points — over the 39.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Eagles 74% · total 41.3Full preview → - FinalCBS
Steelers18final 3
Patriots24final 20Final: Steelers 3, Patriots 20. We projected Patriots 24-18 (68%) — winner called correctly.
Game-time weather: 63°F, Wind 7 mph.Recorded at kickoff · nflverseOur numberNE by 5.9Total 42.4Closing consensusNE -4.5Total 41.5Our number — NE by 5.9 · Total 42.4 | Closing consensus — NE -4.5 · Total 41.5
Final NE by 17. NE covered the spread. 23 points — under the 41.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Patriots 68% · total 42.5Full preview → - FinalFox
Packers24final 20
Jets22final 17Final: Packers 20, Jets 17. We projected Packers 24-22 (56%) — winner called correctly.
Game-time weather: 69°F, Wind 7 mph.Recorded at kickoff · nflverseOur numberGB by 2Total 46.4Closing consensusGB -3.5Total 44.5Our number — GB by 2 · Total 46.4 | Closing consensus — GB -3.5 · Total 44.5
Final GB by 3. NYJ covered the spread. 37 points — under the 44.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Packers 56% · total 46.4Full preview → - FinalCBS
Browns18final 23
Buccaneers24final 19Final: Browns 23, Buccaneers 19. We projected Buccaneers 24-18 (69%) — the model missed this one.
Game-time weather: 86°F, Wind 4 mph.Recorded at kickoff · nflverseOur numberTB by 6.2Total 41.5Closing consensusTB -8.5Total 41.5Our number — TB by 6.2 · Total 41.5 | Closing consensus — TB -8.5 · Total 41.5
Final CLE by 4. CLE covered the spread. 42 points — over the 41.5. Our number was closer. Both totals were equally close.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Buccaneers 69% · total 41.6Full preview → - FinalCBS
Saints19final 24
Ravens28final 17Final: Saints 24, Ravens 17. We projected Ravens 28-19 (75%) — the model missed this one.
Game-time weather: 79°F, Wind 10 mph.Recorded at kickoff · nflverseOur numberBAL by 8.5Total 46.8Closing consensusBAL -8.5Total 45.5Our number — BAL by 8.5 · Total 46.8 | Closing consensus — BAL -8.5 · Total 45.5
Final NO by 7. NO covered the spread. 41 points — under the 45.5. Our number and the book's were equally close. The book's total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Ravens 75% · total 46.8Full preview →
- FinalCBS
Bengals22final 20
Texans26final 6Final: Bengals 20, Texans 6. We projected Texans 26-22 (63%) — the model missed this one.
Our numberHOU by 4.2Total 48.2Closing consensusHOU -3Total 45.5Our number — HOU by 4.2 · Total 48.2 | Closing consensus — HOU -3 · Total 45.5
Final CIN by 14. CIN covered the spread. 26 points — under the 45.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Texans 63% · total 48.2Full preview → - FinalCBS
Jaguars23final 13
Broncos21final 20Final: Jaguars 13, Broncos 20. We projected Jaguars 23-21 (57%) — the model missed this one.
Game-time weather: 73°F, Wind 12 mph.Recorded at kickoff · nflverseOur numberJAX by 2.2Total 44.6Closing consensusDEN -2.5Total 45.5Our number — JAX by 2.2 · Total 44.6 | Closing consensus — DEN -2.5 · Total 45.5
Final DEN by 7. DEN covered the spread. 33 points — under the 45.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jaguars 57% · total 44.6Full preview → - FinalCBS
Raiders20final 26
Chargers24final 14Final: Raiders 26, Chargers 14. We projected Chargers 24-20 (63%) — the model missed this one.
Indoors (dome).Our numberLAC by 4.1Total 44.3Closing consensusLAC -6.5Total 43.5Our number — LAC by 4.1 · Total 44.3 | Closing consensus — LAC -6.5 · Total 43.5
Final LV by 12. LV covered the spread. 40 points — under the 43.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Chargers 63% · total 44.3Full preview → - FinalFox
Commanders27final 20
Cowboys28final 37Final: Commanders 20, Cowboys 37. We projected Cowboys 28-27 (53%) — winner called correctly.
Our numberDAL by 0.8Total 54.2Closing consensusDAL -3.5Total 51.5Our number — DAL by 0.8 · Total 54.2 | Closing consensus — DAL -3.5 · Total 51.5
Final DAL by 17. DAL covered the spread. 57 points — over the 51.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Cowboys 53% · total 54.2Full preview → - FinalFox
Seahawks24final 31
Cardinals19final 7Final: Seahawks 31, Cardinals 7. We projected Seahawks 24-19 (64%) — winner called correctly.
Our numberSEA by 4.4Total 42.8Closing consensusSEA -3.5Total 40.5Our number — SEA by 4.4 · Total 42.8 | Closing consensus — SEA -3.5 · Total 40.5
Final SEA by 24. SEA covered the spread. 38 points — under the 40.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Seahawks 64% · total 42.8Full preview → - FinalFox
Dolphins18final 13
49ers28final 35Final: Dolphins 13, 49ers 35. We projected 49ers 28-18 (79%) — winner called correctly.
Game-time weather: 69°F, Wind 5 mph.Recorded at kickoff · nflverseOur numberSF by 10.4Total 45.7Closing consensusSF -12.5Total 44.5Our number — SF by 10.4 · Total 45.7 | Closing consensus — SF -12.5 · Total 44.5
Final SF by 22. SF covered the spread. 48 points — over the 44.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
49ers 79% · total 45.7Full preview → - FinalNBC
Colts20final 30
Chiefs27final 33Final: Colts 30, Chiefs 33. We projected Chiefs 27-20 (70%) — winner called correctly.
Game-time weather: 71°F, Wind 10 mph.Recorded at kickoff · nflverseOur numberKC by 6.5Total 47.3Closing consensusKC -6Total 46.5Our number — KC by 6.5 · Total 47.3 | Closing consensus — KC -6 · Total 46.5
Final KC by 3. IND covered the spread. 63 points — over the 46.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Chiefs 70% · total 47.3Full preview → - FinalESPN / ABC
Giants23final 6
Rams27final 28Final: Giants 6, Rams 28. We projected Rams 27-23 (64%) — winner called correctly.
Indoors (dome).Our numberLA by 4.6Total 49.6Closing consensusLA -6.5Total 47.5Our number — LA by 4.6 · Total 49.6 | Closing consensus — LA -6.5 · Total 47.5
Final LA by 22. LA covered the spread. 34 points — under the 47.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: Closing consensus via nflverse closing lines, Sep 26, 10:34 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Rams 64% · total 49.6Full preview →
How these numbers are made
Each team gets offense and defense ratings in points and in expected points added per play, adjusted for opponent strength and started from last season's ratings regressed toward average. Quarterback changes, home field and travel, rest and weather are added with weights fitted on past seasons, and the margin becomes a calibrated win probability. The book line under each game (DraftKings when available, otherwise the consensus or the first book, each named with its source) is neutral market data shown for comparison. See methodology and track record and the season scorecard for how the model has actually done.
Free weekly projections email
One email a week in season: the closest projected games, the biggest mismatches and how the model graded out last week. Email address only — no spam, unsubscribe any time.