Thunder vs Clippers Prediction, Projected Score & Pick
Oklahoma City Thunder at LA Clippers · Fri, Nov 13, 2026 · NBA Cup - Group Play
HoopVantage's Nov 13, 2026 prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder over the Clippers by 4.8 points, a 66% win probability, with a projected final of Thunder 114, Clippers 109 (total 223.3).
The model projects Oklahoma City Thunder to win by 4.8 points (66% win probability), projected score LAC 109, OKC 114, total 223.3 (80% range 200–247). The largest driver is player box-score production (3.3 points toward OKC).
Matchup
Oklahoma City Thunder rank 5 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+4.6 points against an average opponent, about 53 projected wins in 2026-27); LA Clippers rank 23 (−2.8, about 32 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 7.4 points to Oklahoma City Thunder; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 4.8-point margin above. A 66% win probability means Oklahoma City Thunder should win about 7 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +0.6 (LAC margin)
- Player box-score production: −3.3 (LAC margin)
- Player on-court impact: −2.4 (LAC margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −1.7 (LAC margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +1.9 (LAC margin)
Rest and travel
OKC: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights, 833 miles of travel. LAC: 2 day(s) of rest, 362 miles of travel.
Projected minutes
OKC: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 34, Ajay Mitchell 27, Jared McCain 26, Isaiah Hartenstein 24, Josh Dix 22, Aday Mara 16, Bennett Stirtz 15, Jaylin Williams 14, Chet Holmgren 14.
LAC: Darius Garland 30, Derrick Jones Jr. 29, Kris Dunn 28, Keaton Wagler 24, Brook Lopez 22, Isaiah Jackson 21, Rui Hachimura 20, Kobe Sanders 19, Gradey Dick 15.
Four factors
| OKC (this season) | LAC (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 106.1 | 114.5 |
| DRtg | 102.5 | 113.3 |
| Pace | 102 | 98.9 |
| eFG% | 49.5% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 23.7% |
| FT rate | 0.225 | 0.295 |
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 54.5% |
All NBA predictions for Nov 13, 2026 · LA Clippers · Oklahoma City Thunder · Scorecard
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.