Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+8.8 points per game against an average opponent on a neutral floor) and project to about 59 wins in 2026-27. In 2025-26 they posted an offensive rating of 116 and a defensive rating of 105.1 (net +10.9) at 101.7 possessions per 48 minutes, with 56.1% effective field-goal shooting, a 12.3% turnover rate, 22.3% offensive rebounding and a 0.261 free-throw rate.
Availability in the model: Ajay Mitchell (Questionable), Thomas Sorber (Questionable), Nikola Topic (Questionable), Isaiah Hartenstein (Questionable), Otega Oweh (Questionable).
Rotation and impact
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander — 32 projected min, impact +7.3
- Chet Holmgren — 26 projected min, impact +4.6
- Ajay Mitchell — 24 projected min, impact +3.5
- Cason Wallace — 24 projected min, impact +2.7
- Alex Caruso — 23 projected min, impact +3.5
- Jared McCain — 21 projected min, impact +1.2
- Isaiah Hartenstein — 20 projected min, impact +3.5
- Jalen Williams — 19 projected min, impact +3.5
- Jaylin Williams — 17 projected min, impact +2.2
- Brooks Barnhizer — 13 projected min, impact −1.3
- Kenrich Williams — 8 projected min, impact +0.8
- Nikola Topic, impact −0.8
Upcoming games
- at San Antonio Spurs Tue, Oct 20, 2026 — 43% win probability
- vs Denver Nuggets Thu, Oct 22, 2026 — 71% win probability
- vs LA Clippers Sun, Oct 25, 2026 — 87% win probability
- vs Phoenix Suns Mon, Oct 26, 2026 — 75% win probability
- at Dallas Mavericks Wed, Oct 28, 2026 — 79% win probability
- at Houston Rockets Sat, Oct 31, 2026 — 65% win probability
- at Cleveland Cavaliers Mon, Nov 2, 2026 — 56% win probability
- vs Cleveland Cavaliers Wed, Nov 4, 2026 — 69% win probability
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.