2026 schedule
Delaware State Hornets
2026 season so far
Delaware State is 4-4 against the 127th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 22 and allowing 26 points per game (-4 per game).
Delaware State plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: at Norfolk State in Week 9. We project Delaware State 24, Norfolk State 29 — Delaware State wins 36% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- vs
Stony Brook Seawolves
0-1 · SOS #136
Win 41-34
Week 1
Our number· model now
Stony Brook by 8
Total 56
Book line
Not posted
Final Delaware State by 7. 75 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Alumni Stadium (DE) - at
William & Mary Tribe
2-0 · SOS #80
Loss 15-22
Week 1
Our number· model now
Delaware State by 2
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
Final William & Mary by 7. 37 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Walter J. Zable Stadium - vs
Bowie State Bulldogs
0-2 · SOS #100
Win 21-6
Week 2
Our number· model now
Delaware State by 7
Total 49
Book line
Not posted
Final Delaware State by 15. 27 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Alumni Stadium (DE) - at
South Florida Bulls
3-0 · SOS #133
Loss 17-59
Week 3
Our number· model now
South Florida by 33
Total 49
Book line
Not posted
Final South Florida by 42. 76 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Raymond James Stadium - vs
Towson Tigers
0-5 · SOS #37
Win 33-28
Week 4
Our number· model now
Towson by 1
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
Final Delaware State by 5. 61 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Alumni Stadium (DE) - at
UAlbany Great Danes
3-3 · SOS #107
Loss 3-28
Week 5
Our number· model now
UAlbany by 11
Total 49
Book line
Not posted
Final UAlbany by 25. 31 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Bob Ford Field at Tom & Mary Casey Stadium - vs
Franklin Pierce Ravens
3-2 · SOS #157
Win 34-0
Week 6
Our number· model now
Delaware State by 6
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
Final Delaware State by 34. 34 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Alumni Stadium (DE) - vs
North Carolina Central Eagles
3-5 · SOS #144
Loss 12-31
Week 8
Our number· model now
North Carolina Central by 1
Total 51
Book line
Not posted
Final North Carolina Central by 19. 43 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN2 Alumni Stadium (DE) - vs
Norfolk State Spartans
4-4 · SOS #153
Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 24-29 · 36%
Our number
Norfolk State by 5
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Lincoln Financial Field - vs
Morgan State Bears
5-3 · SOS #167
Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 25-28 · 44%
Our number
Morgan State by 3
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Alumni Stadium (DE) - at
Howard Bison
4-4 · SOS #47
Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 23-26 · 40%
Our number
Howard by 3
Total 49
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Greene Stadium - at
South Carolina State Bulldogs
6-2 · SOS #155
Sat, Nov 21, 6:30 PM
Week 12
Proj 16-40 · 6%
Our number
South Carolina State by 24
Total 56
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Oliver C. Dawson Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Delaware State Hornets stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-30.6
Adj. offense
10.6
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
41.2
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 22.0 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 26.0 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.80 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.50 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 198.0 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 175.1 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 175.8 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 182.0 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.38 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.00 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.25 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 2.88 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | -0.10 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.09 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 36.3% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 46.0% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 11.3% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 12.9% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 11.6% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 18.3% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.17 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.63 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 9 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 9 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 64.4 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.04 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.23 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.10 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.08 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 43.6% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 33.7% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 28.5% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 25.3% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 35.8% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 34.0% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 40.8% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 54.1% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 51.4% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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