2026 schedule
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
2026 season so far
Lehigh is 6-2 against the 131st-toughest schedule so far, scoring 32.3 and allowing 17.9 points per game (+14.4 per game).
Lehigh plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: vs Bucknell in Week 9. We project Lehigh 38, Bucknell 9 — Lehigh wins 97% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 11:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- at
Holy Cross Crusaders
0-1 · SOS #69
Win 35-10
Week 1
Our number· model now
Lehigh by 10
Total 50
DraftKings
LEH -14
Total 47.5
Final Lehigh by 25. Lehigh beat the spread. 45 points — under the 47.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Lehigh -14 · O/U 47.5 · ML -800 / +509 · Holy Cross 16% no-vig · model vs market +4.0 pts, +10 pct pts (Holy Cross view)
ESPN+ Fitton Field - at
Georgetown Hoyas
0-1 · SOS #121
Win 45-14
Week 1
Our number· model now
Lehigh by 18
Total 48
DraftKings
LEH -22.5
Total 46.5
Final Lehigh by 31. Lehigh beat the spread. 59 points — over the 46.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Lehigh -22.5 (open Lehigh -20.5) · O/U 46.5 (open 49.5) · ML -1920 / +870 · Georgetown 10% no-vig · model vs market +4.5 pts, +2 pct pts (Georgetown view)
ESPN+ Cooper FieldPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded games - vs
William & Mary Tribe
2-1 · SOS #78
Win 44-20
Week 2
Our number· model now
Lehigh by 30
Total 54
DraftKings
LEH -13.5
Total 47.5
Final Lehigh by 24. Lehigh beat the spread. 64 points — over the 47.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Lehigh -13.5 (open Lehigh -11.5) · O/U 47.5 · ML +325 / -449 · Lehigh 78% no-vig · model vs market +16.5 pts, +20 pct pts (Lehigh view)
ESPN+ Goodman StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesBlowout brewingBlowout brewing: Record 137 hits, 30 misses (82% hit rate) over 167 graded games - vs
Dartmouth Big Green
0-1 · SOS #51
Win 24-20
Week 3
Our number· model now
Lehigh by 11
Total 49
DraftKings
LEH -17.5
Total 50.5
Final Lehigh by 4. Dartmouth beat the spread. 44 points — under the 50.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Lehigh -17.5 (open Lehigh -16.5) · O/U 50.5 · ML +577 / -960 · Lehigh 86% no-vig · model vs market -6.5 pts, -9 pct pts (Lehigh view)
ESPN+ Goodman Stadium - at
Pennsylvania Quakers
1-1 · SOS #97
Win 20-7
Week 4
Our number· model now
Lehigh by 10
Total 48
DraftKings
LEH -12.5
Total 45.5
Final Lehigh by 13. Lehigh beat the spread. 27 points — under the 45.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Lehigh -12.5 (open Lehigh -10.5) · O/U 45.5 (open 48.5) · ML -456 / +330 · Pennsylvania 22% no-vig · model vs market +2.5 pts, +2 pct pts (Pennsylvania view)
Game-time weather: Light rain, 63°F, Wind 11 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KPHL)ESPN+ Franklin FieldPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded games - vs
Fordham Rams
1-5 · SOS #48
Win 34-0
Week 5
Our number· model now
Lehigh by 26
Total 50
DraftKings
LEH -22.5
Total 44.5
Final Lehigh by 34. Lehigh beat the spread. 34 points — under the 44.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Lehigh -22.5 (open Lehigh -21.5) · O/U 44.5 · ML +1020 / -2800 · Lehigh 92% no-vig · model vs market +3.5 pts, +4 pct pts (Lehigh view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 72°F, Wind 13 mph E.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KABE)ESPN+ Goodman StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesBlowout brewingBlowout brewing: Record 137 hits, 30 misses (82% hit rate) over 167 graded games - at
Cornell Big Red
3-2 · SOS #44
Loss 38-48
Week 7
Our number· model now
Lehigh by 7
Total 57
DraftKings
LEH -11.5
Total 46.5
Final Cornell by 10. Cornell beat the spread. 86 points — over the 46.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Lehigh -11.5 · O/U 46.5 · ML -435 / +317 · Cornell 23% no-vig · model vs market +4.5 pts, +10 pct pts (Cornell view)
Game-time weather: Mostly cloudy, 45°F.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KITH)ESPN+ Schoellkopf Field - at
Villanova Wildcats
4-4 · SOS #103
Loss 18-24
Week 8
Our number· model now
Lehigh by 7
Total 51
Book line
Not posted
Final Villanova by 6. 42 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Mostly clear, 63°F, Wind 3 mph SE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KPHL)ESPN+ Villanova Stadium - vs
Bucknell Bison
1-7 · SOS #115
Sat, Oct 31, 4:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 38-9 · 97%
Our number
Lehigh by 29
Total 47
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Mostly sunny, 56°F, Wind 5 mph N, 0% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:38 AM EDTESPN+ Goodman StadiumExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesBlowout brewingBlowout brewing: Record 137 hits, 30 misses (82% hit rate) over 167 graded gamesLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesBlowout AlertBlowout Alert: Record 62 hits, 47 misses, 1 push (57% hit rate) over 109 graded games - vs
Colgate Raiders
4-4 · SOS #84
Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 29-17 · 79%
Our number
Lehigh by 12
Total 46
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Goodman StadiumExpectedLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded games - at
Richmond Spiders
6-2 · SOS #129
Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 30-18 · 77%
Our number
Lehigh by 12
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Robins StadiumExpectedLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded games - at
Lafayette Leopards
3-4 · SOS #126
Sat, Nov 21, 5:30 PM
Week 12
Proj 35-19 · 85%
Our number
Lehigh by 16
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Fisher Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Lehigh Mountain Hawks stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-9.1
Adj. offense
21.4
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
30.5
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 32.3 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 17.9 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 6.23 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.43 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 253.1 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 134.1 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 116.5 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 229.8 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.13 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.50 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 1.63 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 0.75 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.17 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.03 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 44.7% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 41.1% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 13.3% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 11.3% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 14.4% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 10.9% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.72 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.47 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 0 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 0 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 62.1 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.16 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.19 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.09 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | -0.00 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 50.0% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 45.3% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 14.3% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 32.6% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 30.6% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 47.5% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 42.5% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 57.6% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 51.3% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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