2026 schedule
Prairie View A&M Panthers
2026 season so far
Prairie View A&M is 4-5 against the 67th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 25.3 and allowing 29.4 points per game (-4.1 per game).
Prairie View A&M plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: vs Alabama A&M in Week 10. We project Prairie View A&M 25, Alabama A&M 31 — Prairie View A&M wins 36% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 11:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- at
Tarleton State Texans
1-0 · SOS #96
Loss 30-49
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Tarleton State by 11.6
Total 56.8
DraftKings
TAR -19.5
Total 54.5
Final Tarleton State by 19. Prairie View A&M beat the spread. 79 points — over the 54.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Tarleton State -19.5 (open Tarleton State -21.5) · O/U 54.5 · ML +770 / -1540 · Tarleton State 89% no-vig · model vs market -7.9 pts, -11 pct pts (Tarleton State view)
ESPN2 Tarleton Memorial Stadium - vs
Texas Southern Tigers
1-1 · SOS #138
Win 52-14
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Prairie View A&M by 10.2
Total 49.6
DraftKings
PV -10.5
Total 54.5
Final Prairie View A&M by 38. Prairie View A&M beat the spread. 66 points — over the 54.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Prairie View A&M -10.5 · O/U 54.5 · ML +345 / -483 · Prairie View A&M 79% no-vig · model vs market -0.3 pts, -4 pct pts (Prairie View A&M view)
ESPNEWS Panther Stadium - at
Baylor Bears
1-1 · SOS #63
Loss 3-44
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Baylor by 28.1
Total 57.3
DraftKings
BAY -37.5
Total 55.5
Final Baylor by 41. Baylor beat the spread. 47 points — under the 55.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Baylor -37.5 · O/U 55.5 (open 56) · model vs market -9.4 pts (Baylor view)
ESPN+ McLane StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: hitBlowout brewingBlowout brewing: Record 137 hits, 30 misses (82% hit rate) over 167 graded gamesBlowout brewing: hit - vs
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
4-0 · SOS #117
Loss 10-31
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Stephen F. Austin by 4.3
Total 59.5
DraftKings
SFA -16.5
Total 52.5
Final Stephen F. Austin by 21. Stephen F. Austin beat the spread. 41 points — under the 52.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Stephen F. Austin -16.5 (open Stephen F. Austin -17.5) · O/U 52.5 (open 50.5) · ML -1060 / +610 · Prairie View A&M 13% no-vig · model vs market +12.2 pts, +26 pct pts (Prairie View A&M view)
Panther StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded games - vs
Grambling Tigers
2-2 · SOS #60
Win 21-14
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Prairie View A&M by 4.7
Total 56.7
DraftKings
PV -11.5
Total 55.5
Final Prairie View A&M by 7. Grambling beat the spread. 35 points — under the 55.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Prairie View A&M -11.5 (open Prairie View A&M -9.5) · O/U 55.5 (open 54.5) · ML -449 / +325 · Grambling 22% no-vig · model vs market +6.8 pts, +16 pct pts (Grambling view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 86°F, Wind 11 mph SSE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KRBD)ESPN+ Cotton BowlPregame calls · how each did
Upset WatchUpset Watch: Record 45 hits, 133 misses (25% hit rate) over 178 graded gamesUpset Watch: missedPattern · Watching Under · high total, night game: Record 16 hits, 10 misses (62% hit rate) over 26 graded gamesUnder · high total, night game: hit · Under · high total, night game → went under 16 of 26 from week 4 · base 51% · since Oct 17: 3 of 9High-total bounce-back dogStudy · Moderate Underdog covers: Total 55–59.5, underdog missed the spread last game (week 3 on): Record 320 hits, 237 misses (57% hit rate) over 557 graded gamesTotal 55–59.5, underdog missed the spread last game (week 3 on): hit (n=557) · Total 55–59.5, underdog missed the spread last game (week 3 on)Flip-flop totals underStudy · Lean Under: Underdog implied 21–28, favorite's last game went under, underdog's went over: Record 307 hits, 231 misses (57% hit rate) over 538 graded gamesUnderdog implied 21–28, favorite's last game went under, underdog's went over: hit (n=538) · Underdog implied 21–28, favorite's last game went under, underdog's went over - at
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
2-4 · SOS #156
Loss 27-28
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Prairie View A&M by 20.2
Total 50.6
DraftKings
PV -29.5
Total 54.5
Final Mississippi Valley State by 1. Mississippi Valley State beat the spread. 55 points — over the 54.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Prairie View A&M -29.5 (open Prairie View A&M -26.5) · O/U 54.5 (open 59.5) · ML -3200 / +1100 · Mississippi Valley State 8% no-vig · model vs market +9.3 pts, +1 pct pts (Mississippi Valley State view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 88°F, Wind 6 mph NNE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KGWO)Rice-Totten StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: missedLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - vs
Southern Jaguars
3-4 · SOS #90
Loss 14-28
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Prairie View A&M by 14.7
Total 52.1
DraftKings
PV -15.5
Total 50.5
Final Southern by 14. Southern beat the spread. 42 points — under the 50.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Prairie View A&M -15.5 · O/U 50.5 (open 56.5) · ML +537 / -860 · Prairie View A&M 85% no-vig · model vs market -0.8 pts, -2 pct pts (Prairie View A&M view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 89°F, Wind 8 mph SSE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (K11R)Panther StadiumPregame calls · how each did
Low Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - vs
Alcorn State Braves
4-4 · SOS #164
Win 41-38
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Prairie View A&M by 1.6
Total 58.8
DraftKings
PV -6.5
Total 57.5
Final Prairie View A&M by 3. Alcorn State beat the spread. 79 points — over the 57.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Prairie View A&M -6.5 (open Prairie View A&M -5.5) · O/U 57.5 (open 56.5) · ML +230 / -300 · Prairie View A&M 71% no-vig · model vs market -4.9 pts, -17 pct pts (Prairie View A&M view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 70°F, Wind 10 mph NNE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (K60R)Panther StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesCoin flip: hitUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesUpset alert: missedPattern · Watching Under · high total, close game: Record 30 hits, 30 misses (50% hit rate) over 60 graded gamesUnder · high total, close game: missed · Under · high total, close game → went under 26 of 38 since week 3 · base 54% - at
East Texas A&M Lions
2-6 · SOS #58
Win 30-19
Week 8
Our number· pregame
dead even
Total 52.1
Book line
Not posted
Final Prairie View A&M by 11. 49 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 74°F, Wind 3 mph ESE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KSLR)ESPN+ Memorial Stadium (Commerce, TX)Pregame calls · how each did
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesCoin flip: missed - vs
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
6-2 · SOS #152
Sat, Nov 7, 8:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 25-31 · 36%
Our number
Alabama A&M by 6
Total 56
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Panther StadiumExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesBlowout AlertBlowout Alert: Record 62 hits, 47 misses, 1 push (57% hit rate) over 109 graded games - at
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
4-3 · SOS #99
Sat, Nov 14, 8:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 27-28 · 49%
Our number
Arkansas-Pine Bluff by 1
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Simmons Bank FieldExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded games - at
Alabama State Hornets
4-3 · SOS #162
Sat, Nov 21, 8:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 19-29 · 24%
Our number
Alabama State by 10
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ASU Football StadiumExpectedLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games
Times shown in your local time
Prairie View A&M Panthers stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-24.0
Adj. offense
13.5
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
37.5
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 25.3 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 29.4 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.48 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 6.10 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 164.1 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 186.7 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 178.2 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 249.9 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.78 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.00 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 1.67 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 2.44 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | -0.04 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.05 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 38.2% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 41.8% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 12.4% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 12.0% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 14.9% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 16.2% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.73 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.58 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 8 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 7 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 64.0 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.01 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.09 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.05 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.05 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 38.7% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 35.9% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 23.0% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 29.0% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 31.6% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 36.1% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 43.6% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 52.5% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 48.8% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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