2026 schedule
Virginia Tech Hokies
2026 season so far
Virginia Tech is 6-2 against the 114th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 35 and allowing 20.5 points per game (+14.5 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Virginia Tech ranks 50th of 139 FBS teams overall — 49th on offense and 50th on defense. The offense carries this team more than the defense does.
Next up: at SMU in Week 10. We project Virginia Tech 24, SMU 31 — Virginia Tech wins 32% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- vs
VMI Keydets
0-2 · SOS #75
Win 73-3
Week 1
Our number· model now
Virginia Tech by 59
Total 59
Book line
Not posted
Final Virginia Tech by 70. 76 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ACC Network/ACCNX Lane Stadium - vs
Old Dominion Monarchs
1-1 · SOS #80
Win 44-21
Week 2
Our number· model now
Virginia Tech by 18
Total 46
Book line
Not posted
Final Virginia Tech by 23. 65 points. No book line was saved for this game.
CW Lane Stadium - at
Maryland Terrapins
2-1 · SOS #40
Win 35-26
Week 3
Our number· model now
Virginia Tech by 5
Total 57
Book line
Not posted
Final Virginia Tech by 9. 61 points. No book line was saved for this game.
FS1 SECU Stadium - at
Boston College Eagles
2-2 · SOS #63
Win 21-14
Week 4
Our number· model now
Virginia Tech by 5
Total 51
Book line
Not posted
Final Virginia Tech by 7. 35 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ACC Network Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA) - vs
Pittsburgh Panthers
5-0 · SOS #52
Loss 33-35
Week 5
Our number· model now
Pittsburgh by 1
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
Final Pittsburgh by 2. 68 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN Lane Stadium - at
California Golden Bears
3-3 · SOS #50
Loss 20-25
Week 6
Our number· model now
Virginia Tech by 12
Total 56
Book line
Not posted
Final California by 5. 45 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ACC Network California Memorial Stadium - vs
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
2-4 · SOS #44
Win 34-24
Week 7
Our number· model now
Virginia Tech by 9
Total 57
Book line
Not posted
Final Virginia Tech by 10. 58 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ACC Network Lane Stadium - at
Clemson Tigers
4-3 · SOS #24
Win 20-16
Week 8
Our number· model now
Clemson by 2
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
Final Virginia Tech by 4. 36 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) - at
#19 SMU Mustangs
6-1 · SOS #74
Sat, Nov 7, 12:00 AM
Week 10
Proj 24-31 · 32%
Our number
SMU by 7
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN Gerald J. Ford Stadium - vs
Stanford Cardinal
4-4 · SOS #14
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 36-18 · 88%
Our number
Virginia Tech by 18
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Lane Stadium - at
#1 Miami Hurricanes
7-0 · SOS #72
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
Week 12
Proj 16-42 · 5%
Our number
Miami by 26
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Hard Rock Stadium - vs
Virginia Cavaliers
4-4 · SOS #57
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
Week 13
Proj 27-21 · 64%
Our number
Virginia Tech by 6
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Lane Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Virginia Tech Hokies stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
+4.6
46th in FBS
Adj. offense
29.0
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
24.4
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 35.0 | 34 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 20.5 | 38 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.94 | 76 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 4.84 | 17 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 159.0 | 85 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 267.4 | 27 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 104.4 | 7 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 183.9 | 31 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.50 | 24 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.50 | 121 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 3.25 | 7 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 2.88 | 125 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.09 | 67 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.06 | 75 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 45.6% | 41 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 39.4% | 43 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 13.6% | 48 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 13.1% | 99 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 18.0% | 6 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 13.3% | 70 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 4.35 | 47 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.44 | 36 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 32 | 23 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 29 | 82 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 71.8 | 10 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.02 | 99 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.14 | 49 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | -0.02 | 42 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.11 | 92 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 45.1% | 59 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 44.5% | 49 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 20.8% | 121 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 36.2% | 27 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 26.2% | 28 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 40.4% | 75 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 31.1% | 11 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 60.2% | 78 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 58.6% | 66 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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