2026 schedule
Georgetown Hoyas
2026 season so far
Georgetown is 3-4 against the 121st-toughest schedule so far, scoring 20.3 and allowing 26 points per game (-5.7 per game).
Georgetown plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: vs Holy Cross in Week 10. We project Georgetown 22, Holy Cross 27 — Georgetown wins 36% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
11 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 11:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- vs
Lafayette Leopards
3-4 · SOS #126
Thu, Aug 27, 11:00 PM
Week 1
Proj 28.7-27.4 · 53%
Our number· pregame
Georgetown by 1.3
Total 56.1
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Cooper FieldPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded games - vs
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
2-0 · SOS #131
Loss 14-45
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Lehigh by 11.9
Total 47.3
DraftKings
LEH -22.5
Total 46.5
Final Lehigh by 31. Lehigh beat the spread. 59 points — over the 46.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Lehigh -22.5 (open Lehigh -20.5) · O/U 46.5 (open 49.5) · ML -1920 / +870 · Georgetown 10% no-vig · model vs market +10.6 pts, +12 pct pts (Georgetown view)
ESPN+ Cooper FieldPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLeans low scoring: missed - at
Richmond Spiders
3-1 · SOS #129
Loss 21-24
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Richmond by 11.8
Total 57.2
DraftKings
RICH -15.5
Total 45.5
Final Richmond by 3. Georgetown beat the spread. 45 points — under the 45.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Richmond -15.5 (open Richmond -12.5) · O/U 45.5 (open 47.5) · ML +397 / -575 · Richmond 81% no-vig · model vs market -3.7 pts, -3 pct pts (Richmond view)
ESPN+ Robins Stadium - vs
Columbia Lions
2-0 · SOS #119
Loss 17-20
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Georgetown by 2.1
Total 50.7
DraftKings
COLU -7
Total 46.5
Final Columbia by 3. Georgetown beat the spread. 37 points — under the 46.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Columbia -7 · O/U 46.5 (open 51.5) · ML -259 / +201 · Georgetown 32% no-vig · model vs market +9.1 pts, +24 pct pts (Georgetown view)
Game-time weather: Light rain, 59°F.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KDCA)ESPN+ Cooper FieldPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesCoin flip: hitUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesUpset alert: missed - vs
Cornell Big Red
2-1 · SOS #44
Loss 14-35
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Cornell by 4.6
Total 50
DraftKings
COR -8.5
Total 45.5
Final Cornell by 21. Cornell beat the spread. 49 points — over the 45.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Cornell -8.5 (open Cornell -7.5) · O/U 45.5 · ML -285 / +220 · Georgetown 30% no-vig · model vs market +3.9 pts, +9 pct pts (Georgetown view)
Game-time weather: Cloudy, 63°F, Wind calm.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KDCA)ESPN+ Cooper FieldPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesUpset alert: missedLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - vs
Bucknell Bison
1-5 · SOS #115
Win 21-14
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Georgetown by 1.5
Total 48.1
DraftKings
GTWN -2.5
Total 44.5
Final Georgetown by 7. Georgetown beat the spread. 35 points — under the 44.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Georgetown -2.5 (open Georgetown -1.5) · O/U 44.5 (open 47.5) · ML +109 / -136 · Georgetown 55% no-vig · model vs market -1.0 pts, -1 pct pts (Georgetown view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 72°F, Wind 7 mph E.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KDCA)ESPN+ Cooper FieldPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesCoin flip: hitLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - at
Colgate Raiders
4-3 · SOS #84
Win 27-17
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Colgate by 19
Total 45
DraftKings
COLG -20.5
Total 43.5
Final Georgetown by 10. Georgetown beat the spread. 44 points — over the 43.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Colgate -20.5 (open Colgate -18.5) · O/U 43.5 (open 45.5) · ML +930 / -2200 · Colgate 91% no-vig · model vs market -1.5 pts, -1 pct pts (Colgate view)
Game-time weather: Mostly cloudy, 45°F, Wind 10 mph NNW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KVGC)ESPN+ Andy Kerr StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: missedLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLeans low scoring: hitLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded gamesLow Scoring Alert: hit - at
William & Mary Tribe
3-5 · SOS #78
Win 28-27
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Georgetown by 1.3
Total 51.7
Book line
Not posted
Final Georgetown by 1. 55 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 61°F, Wind 14 mph ENE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KPHF)ESPN+ Walter J. Zable StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesCoin flip: hitLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - vs
Holy Cross Crusaders
3-5 · SOS #69
Sat, Nov 7, 5:30 PM
Week 10
Proj 22-27 · 36%
Our number
Holy Cross by 5
Total 49
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Cooper FieldExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - at
Fordham Rams
2-7 · SOS #48
Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 25-23 · 55%
Our number
Georgetown by 2
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Moglia Stadium at Jack Coffey FieldExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - at
Villanova Wildcats
4-4 · SOS #103
Sat, Nov 21, 6:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 19-31 · 21%
Our number
Villanova by 12
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Villanova Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Georgetown Hoyas stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-30.2
Adj. offense
9.9
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
40.1
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 20.3 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 26.0 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.22 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.93 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 160.1 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 176.7 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 178.9 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 227.7 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.71 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.14 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 1.29 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 2.71 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | -0.04 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.09 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 36.9% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 46.9% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 9.7% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 13.4% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 12.9% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 14.5% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 0.00 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 0.00 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 0 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 0 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 64.6 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.01 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.08 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.06 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.12 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 35.2% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 37.7% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 18.0% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 24.2% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 33.7% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 30.5% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 41.5% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 0.0% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 0.0% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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