Kansas City Royals: projections & ratings
American League Central · Home park: Kauffman Stadium (run environment +2.5%)
Ratings
Kansas City Royals: 4.26 runs scored and 5 allowed per game over 162 games. Offense rating -0.27 runs per game versus league (regressed); run prevention +0.06 (negative is better).
- vs left-handed pitching: -7 pts wOBA against its own average
- vs right-handed pitching: +2 pts
- Defense (Outs Above Average, last season): +30
- Bullpen rested: 100% (0 weighted pitches over three days)
Schedule: recent results
- Sunday, September 27, 2026: CLE @ KC — CLE 2 – 3 KC · Final. Parker Messick vs Daniel Lynch IV; projected CLE 4.5–3.9 KC, 8.4 runs, CLE 54% to win.
- Saturday, September 26, 2026: CLE @ KC — CLE 11 – 5 KC · Final. Tanner Bibee vs Michael Wacha; projected CLE 4.2–4.1 KC, 8.4 runs, KC 52% to win.
- Friday, September 25, 2026: CLE @ KC — CLE 12 – 9 KC · Final. Gavin Williams vs Noah Cameron; projected CLE 4.1–3.8 KC, 7.8 runs, CLE 51% to win.
- Thursday, September 24, 2026: CWS @ KC — CWS 9 – 1 KC · Final. David Sandlin vs Randy Dobnak; projected CWS 4.9–4.6 KC, 9.5 runs, CWS 50% to win.
Most recent lineup
- Maikel Garcia (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.311
- Bobby Witt Jr. (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.355
- Jac Caglianone (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.323
- Salvador Perez (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.305
- Vinnie Pasquantino (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.327
- Isaac Collins (bats S) — projected wOBA 0.309
- Tyler Tolbert (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.316
- Kyle Isbel (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.285
- Luke Maile (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.291
Bullpen workload
- Steven Cruz: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +1.6 pts
- Spencer Bivens: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -2.2 pts
- Anthony Gose: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -2.3 pts
- Jose Cuas: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -2.7 pts
- Nate Pearson: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -2.9 pts
- Tony Gonsolin: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -2.9 pts
- Lucas Erceg: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -3.0 pts
- Nolan Hoffman: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -3.3 pts
- Alex Lange: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -3.9 pts
- Connor Thomas: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -4.7 pts
Rotation projections
| Pitcher | GS | Proj. K% | Proj. BB% | Exp. IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha | 32 | 19.5% | 7.8% | 5.8 |
| Seth Lugo | 32 | 20.0% | 8.5% | 4.9 |
| Noah Cameron | 30 | 21.0% | 8.5% | 5.6 |
| Randy Dobnak | 13 | 15.8% | 9.5% | 4.7 |
| Luinder Avila | 12 | 21.0% | 12.7% | 4.6 |
| Daniel Lynch IV | 10 | 16.8% | 9.5% | 4.6 |
| Stephen Kolek | 10 | 16.9% | 8.0% | 5.0 |
| Cole Ragans | 8 | 30.3% | 10.7% | 4.6 |
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not advice of any kind and nothing here guarantees any result. How the numbers are made: Methodology · how they have done: Track record.
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