Toronto Blue Jays: projections & ratings
American League East · Home park: Rogers Centre (run environment -0.6%)
Ratings
Toronto Blue Jays: 4 runs scored and 4.28 allowed per game over 162 games. Offense rating +0.02 runs per game versus league (regressed); run prevention -0.10 (negative is better).
- vs left-handed pitching: +4 pts wOBA against its own average
- vs right-handed pitching: -2 pts
- Defense (Outs Above Average, last season): +21
- Bullpen rested: 100% (0 weighted pitches over three days)
Schedule: recent results
- Sunday, September 27, 2026: CIN @ TOR — CIN 1 – 5 TOR · Final. Brandon Williamson vs Max Scherzer; projected CIN 4.0–4.8 TOR, 8.8 runs, TOR 61% to win.
- Saturday, September 26, 2026: CIN @ TOR — CIN 5 – 1 TOR · Final. Rhett Lowder vs Trey Yesavage; projected CIN 4.2–5.0 TOR, 9.2 runs, TOR 61% to win.
- Friday, September 25, 2026: CIN @ TOR — CIN 5 – 6 TOR · Final. Nick Lodolo vs José Soriano; projected CIN 4.0–4.7 TOR, 8.6 runs, TOR 61% to win.
Most recent lineup
- George Springer (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.335
- Brett Bateman (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.334
- Kazuma Okamoto (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.324
- Charles McAdoo (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.309
- Davis Schneider (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.314
- Brandon Valenzuela (bats S) — projected wOBA 0.308
- Myles Straw (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.287
- Andrés Giménez (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.288
- Ernie Clement (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.302
Bullpen workload
- Louis Varland: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +5.9 pts
- Brendan Cellucci: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +5.6 pts
- Paul Sewald: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +5.2 pts
- Spencer Miles: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +4.0 pts
- José Rodríguez: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +3.0 pts
- Mason Fluharty: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +2.5 pts
- Brendon Little: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +1.8 pts
- Braydon Fisher: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +1.7 pts
- Chad Dallas: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +1.5 pts
- Chase Lee: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -0.5 pts
- Tyler Rogers: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -1.9 pts
- John Klein: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -2.3 pts
Rotation projections
| Pitcher | GS | Proj. K% | Proj. BB% | Exp. IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Soriano | 32 | 22.0% | 11.5% | 5.2 |
| Dylan Cease | 29 | 30.4% | 10.7% | 5.2 |
| Michael Lorenzen | 25 | 17.5% | 9.6% | 4.5 |
| Trey Yesavage | 20 | 25.8% | 11.6% | 4.3 |
| Spencer Arrighetti | 19 | 23.3% | 13.8% | 4.5 |
| Jameson Taillon | 18 | 19.6% | 7.0% | 4.2 |
| Max Scherzer | 18 | 22.4% | 8.8% | 5.3 |
| Patrick Corbin | 15 | 17.9% | 8.4% | 4.6 |
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not advice of any kind and nothing here guarantees any result. How the numbers are made: Methodology · how they have done: Track record.
BullpenEdge publishes MLB statistics and model projections for analysis and entertainment. Projections are estimates, can be wrong, and are not advice of any kind. Not affiliated with Major League Baseball. See the Disclaimer and Methodology.