NFL Week 10 Predictions & Projected Scores (2026)
Updated Oct 29, 2026
Week 10 of the 2026 NFL season has 14 games on our board. The closest projected matchup is Texans at Browns (0.2-point margin), the highest projected total is Panthers at Saints (47.8 points) and the lowest is Vikings at Packers (32.6). 9 games are rated a toss-up (neither side above 58%).
Power rankings · Playoff predictions · How accurate are we?
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Every game
CSV download · Sports Pro- Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ESTPrime Video
Giants24We project Giants 24-19, a 4.8-point margin with 43.4 total points; Giants win 65% of the time.
Our numberNYG by 4.8Total 43.4Book lineNot postedOur number — NYG by 4.8 · Total 43.4 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Giants 65% · total 43.4Full preview → - Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ESTFox
Patriots22
Lions20We project Patriots 22-20, a 1.8-point margin with 41.4 total points; Patriots win 56% of the time.
Our numberNE by 1.8Total 41.4Book lineNot postedOur number — NE by 1.8 · Total 41.4 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Patriots 56% · total 41.4Full preview → - Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Chiefs19
Falcons20We project Falcons 20-19, a 1.4-point margin with 38.4 total points; Falcons win 55% of the time.
Our numberATL by 1.4Total 38.5Book lineNot postedOur number — ATL by 1.4 · Total 38.5 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Falcons 55% · total 38.4Full preview → - Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ESTFox
Texans19
Browns19We project Browns 19-19, a 0.2-point margin with 37.7 total points; Browns win 51% of the time.
Our numberEvenTotal 37.7Book lineNot postedOur number — Even · Total 37.7 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Browns 51% · total 37.7Full preview → - Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ESTFox
Vikings18
Packers15We project Vikings 18-15, a 2.8-point margin with 32.6 total points; Vikings win 59% of the time.
Our numberMIN by 2.8Total 32.6Book lineNot postedOur number — MIN by 2.8 · Total 32.6 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Vikings 59% · total 32.6Full preview → - Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ESTFox
Jaguars22
Titans19We project Jaguars 22-19, a 3.6-point margin with 40.9 total points; Jaguars win 61% of the time.
Our numberJAX by 3.6Total 40.9Book lineNot postedOur number — JAX by 3.6 · Total 40.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Jaguars 61% · total 40.9Full preview → - Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Dolphins18
Colts25We project Colts 25-18, a 6.9-point margin with 43.7 total points; Colts win 71% of the time.
Our numberIND by 6.9Total 43.6Book lineNot postedOur number — IND by 6.9 · Total 43.6 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Colts 71% · total 43.7Full preview →
- Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ESTFox
Panthers23
Saints24We project Saints 24-23, a 1-point margin with 47.8 total points; Saints win 53% of the time.
Indoors (dome).Our numberNO by 1Total 47.9Book lineNot postedOur number — NO by 1 · Total 47.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Saints 53% · total 47.8Full preview → - Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Bills22
Jets22We project Jets 22-22, a 0.8-point margin with 43.8 total points; Jets win 53% of the time.
Our numberNYJ by 0.8Total 43.7Book lineNot postedOur number — NYJ by 0.8 · Total 43.7 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Jets 53% · total 43.8Full preview → - Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ESTCBS
Seahawks25
Raiders17We project Seahawks 25-17, a 7.3-point margin with 41.9 total points; Seahawks win 72% of the time.
Indoors (dome).Our numberSEA by 7.3Total 41.8Book lineNot postedOur number — SEA by 7.3 · Total 41.8 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Seahawks 72% · total 41.9Full preview → - Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ESTCBS
Rams24We project Rams 24-22, a 2.3-point margin with 45.5 total points; Rams win 57% of the time.
Our numberLA by 2.3Total 45.5Book lineNot postedOur number — LA by 2.3 · Total 45.5 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Rams 57% · total 45.5Full preview → - Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 PM ESTFox
49ers24
Cowboys23We project 49ers 24-23, a 1.2-point margin with 47.1 total points; 49ers win 54% of the time.
Our numberSF by 1.2Total 47.1Book lineNot postedOur number — SF by 1.2 · Total 47.1 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
49ers 54% · total 47.1Full preview → - Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 PM ESTNBC
Steelers21
Bengals21We project Bengals 21-21, a 0.5-point margin with 42.3 total points; Bengals win 52% of the time.
Our numberCIN by 0.5Total 42.3Book lineNot postedOur number — CIN by 0.5 · Total 42.3 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bengals 52% · total 42.3Full preview → - Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 PM ESTESPN
Chargers18
Ravens20We project Ravens 20-18, a 2.5-point margin with 37.5 total points; Ravens win 58% of the time.
Our numberBAL by 2.5Total 37.6Book lineNot postedOur number — BAL by 2.5 · Total 37.6 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Ravens 58% · total 37.5Full preview →
How these numbers are made
Each team gets offense and defense ratings in points and in expected points added per play, adjusted for opponent strength and started from last season's ratings regressed toward average. Quarterback changes, home field and travel, rest and weather are added with weights fitted on past seasons, and the margin becomes a calibrated win probability. The book line under each game (DraftKings when available, otherwise the consensus or the first book, each named with its source) is neutral market data shown for comparison. See methodology and track record and the season scorecard for how the model has actually done.
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