2026 schedule
New Hampshire Wildcats
2026 season so far
New Hampshire is 2-7 against the 77th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 19.3 and allowing 33.2 points per game (-13.9 per game).
New Hampshire plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: vs Rhode Island in Week 10. We project New Hampshire 20, Rhode Island 31 — New Hampshire wins 24% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
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- at
UAlbany Great Danes
1-0 · SOS #106
Loss 14-28
Week 1
Our number· pregame
New Hampshire by 6.6
Total 49.6
DraftKings
UNH -10
Total 46.5
Final UAlbany by 14. UAlbany beat the spread. 42 points — under the 46.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
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Market lines: New Hampshire -10 (open New Hampshire -11.5) · O/U 46.5 (open 45.5) · ML -357 / +268 · UAlbany 26% no-vig · model vs market +3.4 pts, +8 pct pts (UAlbany view)
Bob Ford Field at Tom & Mary Casey StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesUpset alert: hit - at
Syracuse Orange
1-0 · SOS #77
Loss 3-66
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Syracuse by 23.9
Total 51.3
DraftKings
SYR -35.5
Total 56.5
Final Syracuse by 63. Syracuse beat the spread. 69 points — over the 56.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
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Market lines: Syracuse -35 (open Syracuse -33.5) · O/U 56 (open 55.25) · ML +5000 / -100000 · Syracuse 98% no-vig · model vs market -11.1 pts, -4 pct pts (Syracuse view)
ACC Network/ACCNX JMA Wireless DomePregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: hitBlowout brewingBlowout brewing: Record 137 hits, 30 misses (82% hit rate) over 167 graded gamesBlowout brewing: hit - vs
Stonehill Skyhawks
1-2 · SOS #114
Win 42-35
Week 2
Our number· pregame
New Hampshire by 9.1
Total 41.7
DraftKings
UNH -13.5
Total 43.5
Final New Hampshire by 7. Stonehill beat the spread. 77 points — over the 43.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
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Market lines: New Hampshire -13.5 · O/U 43.5 · ML +343 / -479 · New Hampshire 79% no-vig · model vs market -4.4 pts, -6 pct pts (New Hampshire view)
Wildcat Stadium (NH)Pregame calls · how each did
ExpectedLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLeans low scoring: missed - vs
Harvard Crimson
1-0 · SOS #100
Loss 7-31
Week 3
Our number· pregame
New Hampshire by 5.2
Total 60
DraftKings
HARV -14.5
Total 51.5
Final Harvard by 24. Harvard beat the spread. 38 points — under the 51.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Harvard -14.5 (open Harvard -15.5) · O/U 51.5 (open 52.5) · ML -900 / +554 · New Hampshire 15% no-vig · model vs market +19.7 pts, +49 pct pts (New Hampshire view)
Wildcat Stadium (NH)Pregame calls · how each did
ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesUpset alert: missedLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded games - at
Sacred Heart Pioneers
1-3 · SOS #149
Loss 13-20
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Sacred Heart by 12.5
Total 53.3
DraftKings
SHU -2.5
Total 41.5
Final Sacred Heart by 7. Sacred Heart beat the spread. 33 points — under the 41.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Sacred Heart -2.5 (open Sacred Heart -4.5) · O/U 41.5 (open 45.5) · ML +103 / -128 · Sacred Heart 53% no-vig · model vs market +10.0 pts, +26 pct pts (Sacred Heart view)
Campus Field - vs
Elon Phoenix
4-2 · SOS #151
Win 30-23
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Elon by 9.3
Total 49.3
DraftKings
ELON -7.5
Total 45.5
Final New Hampshire by 7. New Hampshire beat the spread. 53 points — over the 45.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Elon -7.5 (open Elon -10.5) · O/U 45.5 (open 44.5) · ML -313 / +239 · New Hampshire 28% no-vig · model vs market -1.8 pts, -1 pct pts (New Hampshire view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 70°F, Wind 3 mph ENE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KDAW)Wildcat Stadium (NH)Pregame calls · how each did
Low Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - at
North Carolina A&T Aggies
2-5 · SOS #118
Loss 27-30
Week 6
Our number· pregame
New Hampshire by 5
Total 53.6
DraftKings
UNH -5.5
Total 44.5
Final North Carolina A&T by 3. North Carolina A&T beat the spread. 57 points — over the 44.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: New Hampshire -5.5 · O/U 44.5 (open 47.5) · ML -213 / +168 · North Carolina A&T 35% no-vig · model vs market +0.5 pts, +2 pct pts (North Carolina A&T view)
Game-time weather: Cloudy, 66°F, Wind 14 mph E.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KMGE)Truist StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesUpset alert: hitLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - vs
Monmouth Hawks
5-2 · SOS #101
Loss 21-42
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Monmouth by 5
Total 61
DraftKings
MONM -7
Total 55.5
Final Monmouth by 21. Monmouth beat the spread. 63 points — over the 55.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Monmouth -7 (open Monmouth -7.5) · O/U 55.5 (open 57.5) · ML -288 / +221 · New Hampshire 30% no-vig · model vs market +2.0 pts, +8 pct pts (New Hampshire view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 46°F.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KDAW)Wildcat Stadium (NH)Pregame calls · how each did
ExpectedLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded gamesLeans high scoring: hitLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded gamesLow Scoring Alert: missedPattern · Watching Under · high total, close game: Record 30 hits, 30 misses (50% hit rate) over 60 graded gamesUnder · high total, close game: missed · Under · high total, close game → went under 26 of 38 since week 3 · base 54% - at
Merrimack Warriors
3-5 · SOS #66
Loss 17-24
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Merrimack by 10.1
Total 48.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Merrimack by 7. 41 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 55°F, Wind 3 mph.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KLWM)ESPN+ Duane StadiumPregame calls · how each did
Low Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - vs
Rhode Island Rams
4-4 · SOS #88
Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 20-31 · 24%
Our number
Rhode Island by 11
Total 51
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Wildcat Stadium (NH)Low Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - vs
Stony Brook Seawolves
5-3 · SOS #137
Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 22-34 · 23%
Our number
Stony Brook by 12
Total 56
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Wildcat Stadium (NH) - at
Maine Black Bears
1-7 · SOS #63
Sat, Nov 21, 6:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 23-25 · 46%
Our number
Maine by 2
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Harold Alfond Sports StadiumExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games
Times shown in your local time
New Hampshire Wildcats stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-35.4
Adj. offense
8.3
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
43.7
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 19.3 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 33.2 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.12 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.92 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 102.4 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 198.3 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 243.4 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 185.1 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.78 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.78 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 1.44 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 3.22 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | -0.03 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.13 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 37.2% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 41.9% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 11.3% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 14.7% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 9.5% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 15.9% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.43 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 4.35 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 11 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 6 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 58.8 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | -0.13 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.05 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.21 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.04 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 31.7% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 37.1% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 24.1% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 25.9% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 29.0% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 32.2% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 41.1% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 57.6% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 68.2% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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