2026 schedule
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
2026 season so far
Central Connecticut is 4-3 against the 82nd-toughest schedule so far, scoring 34.4 and allowing 35 points per game (-0.6 per game).
Central Connecticut plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: vs Robert Morris in Week 9. We project Central Connecticut 36, Robert Morris 20 — Central Connecticut wins 84% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
11 games- at
South Dakota Coyotes
1-0 · SOS #36
Loss 20-59
Week 1
Our number· model now
South Dakota by 12
Total 62
Book line
Not posted
Final South Dakota by 39. 79 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ The DakotaDome - at
Toledo Rockets
1-1 · SOS #122
Loss 10-63
Week 2
Our number· model now
Toledo by 19
Total 63
Book line
Not posted
Final Toledo by 53. 73 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Glass Bowl - at
Montana State Bobcats
4-0 · SOS #57
Loss 30-35
Week 3
Our number· model now
Montana State by 20
Total 62
Book line
Not posted
Final Montana State by 5. 65 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Bobcat Stadium (MT) - vs
Wagner Seahawks
1-4 · SOS #63
Win 45-14
Week 5
Our number· model now
Central Connecticut by 26
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
Final Central Connecticut by 31. 59 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 72°F, Wind 7 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KHFD)Arute Field - vs
American International Yellow Jackets
2-4 · SOS #40
Win 51-14
Week 6
Our number· model now
Central Connecticut by 23
Total 59
Book line
Not posted
Final Central Connecticut by 37. 65 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 64°F, Wind calm.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KHFD)Arute Field - at
Mercyhurst Lakers
1-6 · SOS #33
Win 43-40
Week 7
Our number· model now
Central Connecticut by 13
Total 63
Book line
Not posted
Final Central Connecticut by 3. 83 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Mostly cloudy, 46°F, Wind 9 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KERI)Saxon Stadium - vs
New Haven Chargers
2-6 · SOS #74
Win 42-20
Week 8
Our number· model now
Central Connecticut by 14
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
Final Central Connecticut by 22. 62 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 54°F, Wind calm.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KHFD)Arute Field - vs
Robert Morris Colonials
4-4 · SOS #143
Sat, Oct 31, 4:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 36-20 · 84%
Our number
Central Connecticut by 16
Total 56
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Sunny, 54°F, Wind 8 mph N, 0% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:38 AM EDTArute Field - at
Stonehill Skyhawks
3-5 · SOS #115
Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 31-22 · 72%
Our number
Central Connecticut by 9
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ W.B. Mason Stadium - at
Long Island University Sharks
3-6 · SOS #59
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 32-21 · 77%
Our number
Central Connecticut by 11
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Shark Stadium - vs
Duquesne Dukes
3-4 · SOS #91
Sat, Nov 21, 5:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 33-28 · 63%
Our number
Central Connecticut by 5
Total 61
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Arute Field
Times shown in your local time
Central Connecticut Blue Devils stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-17.0
Adj. offense
21.2
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
38.2
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 34.4 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 35.0 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 6.12 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 6.52 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 191.1 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 183.7 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 132.4 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 291.4 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.00 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.14 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.00 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.57 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.13 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.15 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 45.9% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 43.1% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 15.0% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 13.8% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 14.9% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 15.2% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.72 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 4.57 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 12 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 10 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 61.3 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.20 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.04 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.11 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.17 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 51.9% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 41.5% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 18.2% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 32.6% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 35.0% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 39.8% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 39.1% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 57.6% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 72.0% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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