2026 schedule
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
2026 season so far
Charleston Southern is 4-4 against the 61st-toughest schedule so far, scoring 23.4 and allowing 20.8 points per game (+2.6 per game).
Charleston Southern plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: vs Western Illinois in Week 9. We project Charleston Southern 26, Western Illinois 27 — Charleston Southern wins 47% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- at
Lindenwood Lions
1-0 · SOS #98
Loss 17-20
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Lindenwood by 5.5
Total 47.5
Book line
Not posted
Final Lindenwood by 3. 37 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Hunter Stadium - at
Georgia Southern Eagles
1-0 · SOS #81
Loss 0-31
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Georgia Southern by 29.7
Total 50.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Georgia Southern by 31. 31 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Allen E. Paulson Stadium - at
The Citadel Bulldogs
1-2 · SOS #10
Win 26-20
Week 2
Our number· pregame
The Citadel by 4.2
Total 44.2
Book line
Not posted
Final Charleston Southern by 6. 46 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Johnson Hagood Stadium - vs
Point University Skyhawks
No record · SOS #133
Win 65-0
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Charleston Southern by 6.1
Total 45.5
Book line
Not posted
Final Charleston Southern by 65. 65 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Buccaneer Field - vs
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
2-4 · SOS #54
Loss 10-12
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Gardner-Webb by 1.1
Total 47.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Gardner-Webb by 2. 22 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Light rain, 73°F, Wind 3 mph S.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KCHS)ESPN+ Buccaneer Field - vs
South Carolina State Bulldogs
5-2 · SOS #155
Win 49-39
Week 6
Our number· pregame
South Carolina State by 11.3
Total 48.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Charleston Southern by 10. 88 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Light rain and fog/mist, 79°F, Wind 9 mph E.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KCHS)ESPN+ Buccaneer Field - at
Clemson Tigers
4-2 · SOS #24
Loss 0-37
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Clemson by 27.2
Total 43.4
Book line
Not posted
Final Clemson by 37. 37 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 65°F.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KLQK)ACC Network Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) - at
Tennessee State Tigers
2-6 · SOS #33
Win 20-7
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Charleston Southern by 5
Total 44.8
Book line
Not posted
Final Charleston Southern by 13. 27 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 75°F, Wind 8 mph E.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KBNA)ESPN+ Nissan Stadium - vs
Western Illinois Leathernecks
4-4 · SOS #95
Sat, Oct 31, 6:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 26-27 · 47%
Our number
Western Illinois by 1
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Mostly cloudy, 75°F, Wind 12 mph E, 2% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:38 AM EDTESPN+ Buccaneer Field - vs
UT Martin Skyhawks
3-5 · SOS #45
Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 25-23 · 56%
Our number
Charleston Southern by 2
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Buccaneer Field - vs
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
5-3 · SOS #70
Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 23-22 · 52%
Our number
Charleston Southern by 1
Total 45
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Buccaneer Field - at
Eastern Illinois Panthers
2-6 · SOS #46
Sat, Nov 21, 6:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 26-19 · 67%
Our number
Charleston Southern by 7
Total 45
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ O'Brien Field
Times shown in your local time
Charleston Southern Buccaneers stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-25.5
Adj. offense
11.1
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
36.5
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 23.4 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 20.8 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 4.95 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 4.84 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 140.0 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 137.6 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 136.5 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 211.0 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.00 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.25 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 1.75 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 3.63 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | -0.07 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.03 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 40.3% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 38.0% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 11.0% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 9.6% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 14.3% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 18.9% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 2.55 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.11 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 19 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 16 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 56.1 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | -0.07 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.09 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.03 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.02 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 41.8% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 36.1% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 26.1% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 28.8% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 28.8% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 31.0% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 38.8% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 44.6% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 53.2% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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