2026 schedule
Texas A&M Aggies
2026 season so far
Texas A&M is 4-4 against the 27th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 28.3 and allowing 18.9 points per game (+9.4 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Texas A&M ranks 14th of 139 FBS teams overall — 23rd on offense and 14th on defense. The defense is the stronger unit.
Next up: at South Carolina in Week 10. We project Texas A&M 27, South Carolina 26 — Texas A&M wins 51% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- vs
Missouri State Bears
0-1 · SOS #108
Win 50-0
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Texas A&M by 15.1
Total 56.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Texas A&M by 50. 50 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN Kyle Field - vs
Arizona State Sun Devils
1-1 · SOS #37
Win 48-20
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Texas A&M by 10
Total 52.4
Book line
Not posted
Final Texas A&M by 28. 68 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ABC Kyle Field - vs
Kentucky Wildcats
2-1 · SOS #4
Loss 21-31
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Texas A&M by 13.2
Total 51.8
Book line
Not posted
Final Kentucky by 10. 52 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN Kyle Field - at
#10 LSU Tigers
3-1 · SOS #18
Loss 6-35
Week 4
Our number· pregame
LSU by 1.6
Total 55.2
Book line
Not posted
Final LSU by 29. 41 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 79°F, Wind calm.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KBTR)ABC Tiger Stadium (LA) - vs
Arkansas Razorbacks
2-3 · SOS #8
Win 34-7
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Texas A&M by 18.3
Total 54.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Texas A&M by 27. 41 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Mostly cloudy, 77°F, Wind 9 mph NNE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KCLL)ESPN2 Kyle Field - at
#14 Missouri Tigers
5-1 · SOS #30
Loss 6-27
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Missouri by 0.9
Total 51.9
Book line
Not posted
Final Missouri by 21. 33 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 72°F, Wind 8 mph ESE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KHUF)ABC/Disney+ Memorial Stadium - vs
The Citadel Bulldogs
2-5 · SOS #10
Win 41-0
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Texas A&M by 41
Total 51.4
Book line
Not posted
Final Texas A&M by 41. 41 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 64°F, Wind 10 mph NNE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KCLL)SECN+ Kyle Field - at
#13 Alabama Crimson Tide
6-2 · SOS #2
Loss 20-31
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Alabama by 12.6
Total 52
Book line
Not posted
Final Alabama by 11. 51 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 75°F, Wind 10 mph NE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KTCL)ABC Bryant-Denny Stadium - at
South Carolina Gamecocks
4-3 · SOS #23
Sat, Nov 7, 8:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 27-26 · 51%
Our number
Texas A&M by 1
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN Williams-Brice Stadium - vs
#16 Tennessee Volunteers
6-2 · SOS #25
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 24-25 · 47%
Our number
Tennessee by 1
Total 49
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kyle Field - at
Oklahoma Sooners
4-3 · SOS #9
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
Week 12
Proj 19-19 · 50%
Our number
dead even
Total 38
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) - vs
#11 Texas Longhorns
5-2 · SOS #1
Sat, Nov 28, 12:30 AM
Week 13
Proj 22-25 · 42%
Our number
Texas by 3
Total 47
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ABC Kyle Field
Times shown in your local time
Texas A&M Aggies stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
+14.4
14th in FBS
Adj. offense
32.6
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
18.1
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 28.3 | 72 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 18.9 | 27 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.26 | 122 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 6.01 | 93 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 169.9 | 63 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 185.4 | 110 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 135.9 | 43 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 205.1 | 66 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.25 | 116 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.88 | 63 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 0.88 | 133 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.75 | 61 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.01 | 106 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | -0.00 | 43 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 42.7% | 71 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 39.6% | 45 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 10.6% | 122 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 15.6% | 132 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 12.9% | 97 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 12.8% | 54 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 4.54 | 34 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.31 | 23 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 32 | 19 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 28 | 57 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 67.5 | 54 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.09 | 61 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.07 | 124 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | -0.08 | 19 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.08 | 83 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 44.6% | 68 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 40.9% | 78 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 15.1% | 34 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 32.6% | 47 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 26.4% | 31 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 42.9% | 56 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 33.0% | 20 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 61.1% | 73 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 61.1% | 77 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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