2026 schedule
Sacred Heart Pioneers
2026 season so far
Sacred Heart is 3-4 against the 149th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 20.1 and allowing 24.3 points per game (-4.2 per game).
Sacred Heart plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: at Stony Brook in Week 9. We project Sacred Heart 23, Stony Brook 32 — Sacred Heart wins 28% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
11 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- at
Monmouth Hawks
1-1 · SOS #101
Loss 24-31
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Monmouth by 8.3
Total 64.5
DraftKings
MONM -11.5
Total 58.5
Final Monmouth by 7. Sacred Heart beat the spread. 55 points — under the 58.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Monmouth -11.5 (open Monmouth -15.5) · O/U 58.5 · ML +432 / -640 · Monmouth 82% no-vig · model vs market -3.2 pts, -12 pct pts (Monmouth view)
Kessler Stadium - at
Massachusetts Minutemen
2-0 · SOS #138
Loss 10-37
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Massachusetts by 22.3
Total 53.9
DraftKings
MASS -23.5
Total 53.5
Final Massachusetts by 27. Massachusetts beat the spread. 47 points — under the 53.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Massachusetts -23.5 · O/U 53.5 · ML +1100 / -2450 · Massachusetts 92% no-vig · model vs market -1.2 pts, +1 pct pts (Massachusetts view)
ESPN+ Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium - at
Elon Phoenix
3-1 · SOS #151
Loss 21-24
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Elon by 8.7
Total 46.3
DraftKings
ELON -11.5
Total 46.5
Final Elon by 3. Sacred Heart beat the spread. 45 points — under the 46.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Elon -11.5 (open Elon -15.5) · O/U 46.5 (open 49.5) · ML +365 / -517 · Elon 80% no-vig · model vs market -2.8 pts, -8 pct pts (Elon view)
Rhodes Stadium - vs
New Hampshire Wildcats
1-4 · SOS #77
Win 20-13
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Sacred Heart by 12.5
Total 53.3
DraftKings
SHU -2.5
Total 41.5
Final Sacred Heart by 7. Sacred Heart beat the spread. 33 points — under the 41.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Sacred Heart -2.5 (open Sacred Heart -4.5) · O/U 41.5 (open 45.5) · ML +103 / -128 · Sacred Heart 53% no-vig · model vs market +10.0 pts, +26 pct pts (Sacred Heart view)
Campus Field - at
Maine Black Bears
1-5 · SOS #63
Win 24-16
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Sacred Heart by 3.7
Total 49.3
DraftKings
ME -2.5
Total 44.5
Final Sacred Heart by 8. Sacred Heart beat the spread. 40 points — under the 44.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Maine -2.5 · O/U 44.5 (open 43.5) · ML +110 / -136 · Maine 55% no-vig · model vs market -6.2 pts, -14 pct pts (Maine view)
Harold Alfond Sports Stadium - vs
Stonehill Skyhawks
2-4 · SOS #114
Loss 7-28
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Sacred Heart by 10.3
Total 45.7
DraftKings
SHU -7
Total 43.5
Final Stonehill by 21. Stonehill beat the spread. 35 points — under the 43.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Sacred Heart -7 (open Sacred Heart -8.5) · O/U 43.5 · ML +236 / -309 · Sacred Heart 72% no-vig · model vs market +3.3 pts, +3 pct pts (Sacred Heart view)
Campus Field - vs
Hampton Pirates
1-6 · SOS #141
Win 35-21
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Sacred Heart by 16.2
Total 48.6
DraftKings
SHU -14.5
Total 43.5
Final Sacred Heart by 14. Hampton beat the spread. 56 points — over the 43.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Sacred Heart -14.5 (open Sacred Heart -13.5) · O/U 43.5 (open 45.5) · ML +544 / -880 · Sacred Heart 85% no-vig · model vs market +1.7 pts, +0 pct pts (Sacred Heart view)
Campus Field - at
Stony Brook Seawolves
5-3 · SOS #137
Sat, Oct 31, 4:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 23-32 · 28%
Our number
Stony Brook by 9
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kenneth P. LaValle Stadium - vs
Towson Tigers
0-8 · SOS #37
Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 27-25 · 54%
Our number
Sacred Heart by 2
Total 52
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Campus Field - vs
Bryant Bulldogs
5-3 · SOS #132
Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 26-22 · 59%
Our number
Sacred Heart by 4
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Campus Field - at
Merrimack Warriors
3-5 · SOS #66
Sat, Nov 21, 5:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 22-25 · 42%
Our number
Merrimack by 3
Total 47
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Duane Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Sacred Heart Pioneers stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-27.7
Adj. offense
11.6
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
39.3
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 20.1 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 24.3 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.27 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.98 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 177.3 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 178.1 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 150.0 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 173.9 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.29 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.14 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 0.71 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.86 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.07 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.15 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 42.6% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 42.4% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 9.2% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 14.5% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 9.9% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 12.1% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.46 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.63 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 11 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 8 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 67.4 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | -0.04 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.22 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.10 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.20 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 40.4% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 45.6% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 19.0% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 32.0% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 34.0% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 43.6% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 36.6% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 55.4% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 59.0% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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