2026 schedule
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
2026 season so far
Tennessee Tech is 7-1 against the 94th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 33.3 and allowing 21.5 points per game (+11.8 per game).
Tennessee Tech plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: at East Tennessee State in Week 9. We project Tennessee Tech 29, East Tennessee State 28 — Tennessee Tech wins 51% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 11:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- vs
Monmouth Hawks
0-1 · SOS #101
Win 38-14
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Tennessee Tech by 5.3
Total 64.3
DraftKings
TNTC -8.5
Total 58.5
Final Tennessee Tech by 24. Tennessee Tech beat the spread. 52 points — under the 58.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Tennessee Tech -8.5 · O/U 58.5 · ML +257 / -340 · Tennessee Tech 73% no-vig · model vs market -3.2 pts, -10 pct pts (Tennessee Tech view)
ESPN+ Tucker StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesUpset alert: missedLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded gamesLeans high scoring: missedPattern · Watching Under · high total, night game: Record 16 hits, 10 misses (62% hit rate) over 26 graded gamesUnder · high total, night game: hit · Under · high total, night game → went under 16 of 26 from week 4 · base 51% · since Oct 17: 3 of 9 - at
Chattanooga Mocs
1-1 · SOS #87
Win 24-9
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Tennessee Tech by 6
Total 60
DraftKings
TNTC -10.5
Total 48.5
Final Tennessee Tech by 15. Tennessee Tech beat the spread. 33 points — under the 48.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Tennessee Tech -10.5 · O/U 48.5 (open 49.5) · ML -504 / +358 · Chattanooga 21% no-vig · model vs market +4.5 pts, +14 pct pts (Chattanooga view)
ESPN+ Finley StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesUpset alert: missedLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded gamesLeans high scoring: missed - vs
Samford Bulldogs
0-3 · SOS #80
Win 45-19
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Tennessee Tech by 17.9
Total 47.5
DraftKings
TNTC -26.5
Total 48.5
Final Tennessee Tech by 26. Samford beat the spread. 64 points — over the 48.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Tennessee Tech -26.5 · O/U 48.5 · ML +1340 / -5900 · Tennessee Tech 93% no-vig · model vs market -8.6 pts, -5 pct pts (Tennessee Tech view)
ESPN+ Tucker StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: hitLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLeans low scoring: missed - at
Wofford Terriers
2-3 · SOS #120
Win 42-38
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Tennessee Tech by 13
Total 47.6
DraftKings
TNTC -14.5
Total 47.5
Final Tennessee Tech by 4. Wofford beat the spread. 80 points — over the 47.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Tennessee Tech -14.5 (open Tennessee Tech -15.5) · O/U 47.5 (open 45.5) · ML -720 / +472 · Wofford 17% no-vig · model vs market +1.5 pts, +3 pct pts (Wofford view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 81°F, Wind 6 mph WNW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KSPA)ESPN+ Gibbs StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLeans low scoring: missedLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded gamesLow Scoring Alert: missed - at
Western Carolina Catamounts
3-3 · SOS #27
Loss 20-44
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Tennessee Tech by 10.3
Total 68.1
DraftKings
TNTC -13.5
Total 63.5
Final Western Carolina by 24. Western Carolina beat the spread. 64 points — over the 63.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Tennessee Tech -13.5 (open Tennessee Tech -9.5) · O/U 63.5 · ML -445 / +323 · Western Carolina 22% no-vig · model vs market +3.2 pts, +3 pct pts (Western Carolina view)
Game-time weather: 69°F, Wind calm.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (K24A)ESPN+ E.J. Whitmire StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded games - vs
Furman Paladins
2-5 · SOS #20
Win 20-15
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Tennessee Tech by 16.3
Total 49.9
DraftKings
TNTC -13.5
Total 44.5
Final Tennessee Tech by 5. Furman beat the spread. 35 points — under the 44.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Tennessee Tech -13.5 · O/U 44.5 (open 45.5) · ML +397 / -573 · Tennessee Tech 81% no-vig · model vs market +2.8 pts, +5 pct pts (Tennessee Tech view)
Game-time weather: Light rain, 66°F, Wind 3 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KSRB)ESPN+ Tucker StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: hitUpset WatchUpset Watch: Record 45 hits, 133 misses (25% hit rate) over 178 graded gamesUpset Watch: missed - vs
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
2-5 · SOS #36
Win 49-20
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Tennessee Tech by 15.8
Total 50.8
DraftKings
TNTC -14.5
Total 52.5
Final Tennessee Tech by 29. Tennessee Tech beat the spread. 69 points — over the 52.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Tennessee Tech -14.5 (open Tennessee Tech -14) · O/U 52.5 · ML +502 / -780 · Tennessee Tech 84% no-vig · model vs market +1.3 pts, +1 pct pts (Tennessee Tech view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 59°F, Wind 7 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KSRB)ESPN+ Tucker StadiumPregame calls · how each did
Upset WatchUpset Watch: Record 45 hits, 133 misses (25% hit rate) over 178 graded gamesUpset Watch: missed - at
The Citadel Bulldogs
2-6 · SOS #10
Win 28-13
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Tennessee Tech by 13.3
Total 55.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Tennessee Tech by 15. 41 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Partly cloudy, 73°F, Wind 14 mph NNE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KJZI)ESPN+ Johnson Hagood StadiumPregame calls · how each did
Blowout AlertBlowout Alert: Record 62 hits, 47 misses, 1 push (57% hit rate) over 109 graded games - at
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
6-2 · SOS #113
Sat, Oct 31, 7:30 PM
Week 9
Proj 29-28 · 51%
Our number
Tennessee Tech by 1
Total 57
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Mostly cloudy, 70°F, Wind 5 mph SE, 0% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:38 AM EDTESPN+ William B. Greene Jr. StadiumExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded games - vs
VMI Keydets
0-8 · SOS #71
Sat, Nov 7, 7:30 PM
Week 10
Proj 50-4 · 100%
Our number
Tennessee Tech by 46
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Tucker StadiumExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesBlowout brewingBlowout brewing: Record 137 hits, 30 misses (82% hit rate) over 167 graded gamesBlowout AlertBlowout Alert: Record 62 hits, 47 misses, 1 push (57% hit rate) over 109 graded games - vs
Mercer Bears
6-2 · SOS #130
Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM
Week 11
Proj 29-26 · 58%
Our number
Tennessee Tech by 3
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Tucker StadiumExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesUpset WatchUpset Watch: Record 45 hits, 133 misses (25% hit rate) over 178 graded games - at
Mississippi State Bulldogs
4-3 · SOS #5
Sat, Nov 21, 6:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 21-38 · 13%
Our number
Mississippi State by 17
Total 59
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
SECN+ Davis Wade StadiumExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded games
Times shown in your local time
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-10.0
Adj. offense
22.8
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
32.7
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 33.3 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 21.5 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 6.42 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.09 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 132.3 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 271.4 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 167.0 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 150.6 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.13 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.63 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.00 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.38 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.07 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.00 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 45.8% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 39.0% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 12.6% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 10.9% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 13.5% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 14.2% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 0.00 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 0.00 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 0 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 0 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 62.9 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.05 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.10 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.05 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | -0.04 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 47.8% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 45.6% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 18.7% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 35.4% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 28.0% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 46.7% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 35.2% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 0.0% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 0.0% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
Free weekly projections email
One email a week in season: the closest projected games, the biggest mismatches and how the model graded out last week. Email address only — no spam, unsubscribe any time.