2026 schedule
West Georgia Wolves
2026 season so far
West Georgia is 1-7 against the 29th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 16.1 and allowing 33.5 points per game (-17.4 per game).
West Georgia plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: at Abilene Christian in Week 9. We project West Georgia 18, Abilene Christian 32 — West Georgia wins 17% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 11:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- vs
Chattanooga Mocs
1-0 · SOS #87
Loss 10-24
Week 1
Our number· pregame
West Georgia by 8.7
Total 53.5
DraftKings
UTC -3.5
Total 50.5
Final Chattanooga by 14. Chattanooga beat the spread. 34 points — under the 50.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Chattanooga -3.5 · O/U 50.5 · model vs market +12.2 pts (West Georgia view)
ESPN+ University Stadium (GA) - at
Kennesaw State Owls
1-0 · SOS #96
Loss 0-47
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Kennesaw State by 27.8
Total 50.8
DraftKings
KENN -22.5
Total 50.5
Final Kennesaw State by 47. Kennesaw State beat the spread. 47 points — under the 50.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Kennesaw State -22.5 · O/U 50.5 (open 51.5) · ML +1500 / -3600 · Kennesaw State 94% no-vig · model vs market +5.3 pts, +3 pct pts (Kennesaw State view)
ESPN+ Walens Family Field at Fifth Third StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: hitBlowout brewingBlowout brewing: Record 137 hits, 30 misses (82% hit rate) over 167 graded gamesBlowout brewing: hit - at
Arkansas State Red Wolves
1-1 · SOS #102
Loss 7-52
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Arkansas State by 30.3
Total 47.1
DraftKings
ARST -31.5
Total 56.5
Final Arkansas State by 45. Arkansas State beat the spread. 59 points — over the 56.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Arkansas State -31.5 · O/U 56.5 · ML +3000 / -10000 · Arkansas State 97% no-vig · model vs market -1.2 pts, +1 pct pts (Arkansas State view)
ESPN+ Centennial Bank StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: hitBlowout brewingBlowout brewing: Record 137 hits, 30 misses (82% hit rate) over 167 graded gamesBlowout brewing: hitLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLeans low scoring: missed - at
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
2-2 · SOS #113
Loss 27-35
Week 3
Our number· pregame
East Tennessee State by 10.7
Total 58.1
DraftKings
ETSU -16.5
Total 53.5
Final East Tennessee State by 8. West Georgia beat the spread. 62 points — over the 53.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: East Tennessee State -16.5 · O/U 53.5 · ML +450 / -680 · East Tennessee State 83% no-vig · model vs market -5.8 pts, -7 pct pts (East Tennessee State view)
ESPN+ William B. Greene Jr. Stadium - vs
Fort Valley State Wildcats
1-3 · SOS #146
Win 49-7
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Fort Valley State by 12.3
Total 53.7
Book line
Not posted
Final West Georgia by 42. 56 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 74°F, Wind 3 mph NNE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KCTJ)ESPN+ University Stadium (GA)Pregame calls · how each did
Low Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - at
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
2-4 · SOS #36
Loss 20-30
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Eastern Kentucky by 0.7
Total 47.3
DraftKings
EKU -5.5
Total 43.5
Final Eastern Kentucky by 10. Eastern Kentucky beat the spread. 50 points — over the 43.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Eastern Kentucky -5.5 · O/U 43.5 (open 46.5) · ML +184 / -234 · Eastern Kentucky 67% no-vig · model vs market -4.8 pts, -15 pct pts (Eastern Kentucky view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 59°F, Wind 11 mph E.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KRGA)ESPN+ Roy Kidd StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesCoin flip: missedLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLeans low scoring: missedLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded gamesLow Scoring Alert: missedUpset WatchUpset Watch: Record 45 hits, 133 misses (25% hit rate) over 178 graded gamesUpset Watch: missed - vs
Austin Peay Governors
6-2 · SOS #75
Loss 10-24
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Austin Peay by 11.2
Total 56.4
DraftKings
APSU -19.5
Total 53.5
Final Austin Peay by 14. West Georgia beat the spread. 34 points — under the 53.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Austin Peay -19.5 (open Austin Peay -21) · O/U 53.5 (open 55.5) · ML -1680 / +810 · West Georgia 10% no-vig · model vs market +8.3 pts, +13 pct pts (West Georgia view)
Game-time weather: Partly cloudy, 62°F, Wind 15 mph NNW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KCTJ)ESPN+ University Stadium (GA)Pregame calls · how each did
Blowout AlertBlowout Alert: Record 62 hits, 47 misses, 1 push (57% hit rate) over 109 graded gamesBlowout Alert: missedBounce-back home dogStudy · Moderate Underdog covers: Home underdog vs a road favorite that lost and missed the spread last game: Record 284 hits, 203 misses (58% hit rate) over 487 graded gamesHome underdog vs a road favorite that lost and missed the spread last game: hit (n=487) · Home underdog vs a road favorite that lost and missed the spread last gameHigh-total bounce-back dogStudy · Moderate Underdog covers: Total 55–59.5, underdog missed the spread last game (week 3 on): Record 320 hits, 237 misses (57% hit rate) over 557 graded gamesTotal 55–59.5, underdog missed the spread last game (week 3 on): hit (n=557) · Total 55–59.5, underdog missed the spread last game (week 3 on) - vs
Tarleton State Texans
8-0 · SOS #96
Loss 6-49
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Tarleton State by 16.9
Total 58.5
Book line
Not posted
Final Tarleton State by 43. 55 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 68°F, Wind 8 mph E.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KCTJ)ESPN+ University Stadium (GA)Pregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: hitBlowout AlertBlowout Alert: Record 62 hits, 47 misses, 1 push (57% hit rate) over 109 graded games - at
Abilene Christian Wildcats
4-4 · SOS #6
Sat, Oct 31, 8:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 18-32 · 17%
Our number
Abilene Christian by 14
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Partly sunny, 75°F, Wind 5 mph W, 12% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:38 AM EDTESPN+ Wildcat Stadium (TX) - at
Central Arkansas Bears
2-6 · SOS #28
Sat, Nov 7, 10:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 22-31 · 29%
Our number
Central Arkansas by 9
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Estes Stadium - vs
North Alabama Lions
4-4 · SOS #49
Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 22-27 · 38%
Our number
North Alabama by 5
Total 49
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ University Stadium (GA)ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - vs
West Florida Argonauts
4-3 · SOS #79
Sat, Nov 21, 7:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 21-27 · 36%
Our number
West Florida by 6
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ University Stadium (GA)ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games
Times shown in your local time
West Georgia Wolves stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-27.5
Adj. offense
11.7
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
39.2
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 16.1 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 33.5 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.45 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.82 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 83.3 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 264.3 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 201.0 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 181.1 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.25 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.38 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.00 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 2.25 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | -0.03 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.06 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 39.1% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 43.6% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 11.7% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 10.7% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 13.0% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 13.8% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.03 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 4.49 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 18 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 15 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 63.8 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | -0.08 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.01 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.07 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.07 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 37.5% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 38.2% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 16.6% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 31.0% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 29.0% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 36.9% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 47.8% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 49.9% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 76.0% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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