2026 schedule
Wofford Terriers
2026 season so far
Wofford is 5-3 against the 120th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 26 and allowing 23.1 points per game (+2.9 per game).
Wofford plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: at Samford in Week 9. We project Wofford 24, Samford 22 — Wofford wins 57% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- vs
The Citadel Bulldogs
0-1 · SOS #10
Win 42-14
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Wofford by 6.7
Total 41.7
DraftKings
WOF -7.5
Total 45.5
Final Wofford by 28. Wofford beat the spread. 56 points — over the 45.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Wofford -7.5 (open Wofford -8.5) · O/U 45.5 · ML +305 / -415 · Wofford 77% no-vig · model vs market -0.8 pts, -10 pct pts (Wofford view)
ESPN+ Gibbs Stadium - vs
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
0-2 · SOS #54
Win 17-13
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Wofford by 5.2
Total 48.8
DraftKings
WOF -8.5
Total 50.5
Final Wofford by 4. Gardner-Webb beat the spread. 30 points — under the 50.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Wofford -8.5 (open Wofford -7) · O/U 50.5 (open 47.5) · ML +230 / -300 · Wofford 71% no-vig · model vs market -3.3 pts, -8 pct pts (Wofford view)
ESPN+ Gibbs Stadium - at
Kent State Golden Flashes
1-1 · SOS #68
Loss 15-36
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Kent State by 21.3
Total 46.3
DraftKings
KENT -10
Total 45.5
Final Kent State by 21. Kent State beat the spread. 51 points — over the 45.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Kent State -10.5 (open Kent State -11.25) · O/U 46.25 (open 47.25) · ML +350 / -455 · Kent State 79% no-vig · model vs market +10.8 pts, +13 pct pts (Kent State view)
ESPN+ Zoeller Field at Dix Stadium - at
Chattanooga Mocs
2-2 · SOS #87
Loss 7-41
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Wofford by 2.6
Total 39
DraftKings
UTC -1.5
Total 43.5
Final Chattanooga by 34. Chattanooga beat the spread. 48 points — over the 43.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Chattanooga -1.5 · O/U 43.5 · ML +110 / -137 · Chattanooga 55% no-vig · model vs market -4.1 pts, -12 pct pts (Chattanooga view)
ESPN+ Finley Stadium - vs
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
4-0 · SOS #94
Loss 38-42
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Tennessee Tech by 13
Total 47.6
DraftKings
TNTC -14.5
Total 47.5
Final Tennessee Tech by 4. Wofford beat the spread. 80 points — over the 47.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Tennessee Tech -14.5 (open Tennessee Tech -15.5) · O/U 47.5 (open 45.5) · ML -720 / +472 · Wofford 17% no-vig · model vs market +1.5 pts, +3 pct pts (Wofford view)
ESPN+ Gibbs Stadium - at
Furman Paladins
2-4 · SOS #20
Win 32-25
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Furman by 3.2
Total 42.6
DraftKings
FUR -4
Total 44.5
Final Wofford by 7. Wofford beat the spread. 57 points — over the 44.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Furman -4 (open Furman -4.5) · O/U 44.5 · ML +149 / -188 · Furman 62% no-vig · model vs market -0.8 pts, -4 pct pts (Furman view)
ESPN+ Paladin Stadium - at
Elon Phoenix
4-3 · SOS #151
Win 16-0
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Elon by 6
Total 49
DraftKings
ELON -3.5
Total 46.5
Final Wofford by 16. Wofford beat the spread. 16 points — under the 46.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Elon -3.5 (open Elon -4) · O/U 46.5 · ML +128 / -159 · Elon 58% no-vig · model vs market +2.5 pts, +7 pct pts (Elon view)
Rhodes Stadium - vs
VMI Keydets
0-7 · SOS #71
Win 41-14
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Wofford by 28.8
Total 46.8
DraftKings
WOF -30.5
Total 46.5
Final Wofford by 27. VMI beat the spread. 55 points — over the 46.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Wofford -30.5 (open Wofford -28.5) · O/U 46.5 · model vs market -1.7 pts (Wofford view)
ESPN+ Gibbs Stadium - at
Samford Bulldogs
2-6 · SOS #80
Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 24-22 · 57%
Our number
Wofford by 2
Total 46
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Seibert Stadium - at
Western Carolina Catamounts
3-5 · SOS #27
Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 26-32 · 34%
Our number
Western Carolina by 6
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ E.J. Whitmire Stadium - vs
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
6-2 · SOS #113
Sat, Nov 14, 6:30 PM
Week 11
Proj 22-30 · 32%
Our number
East Tennessee State by 8
Total 52
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Gibbs Stadium - at
#12 Ole Miss Rebels
5-2 · SOS #6
Sat, Nov 21, 5:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 4-50 · 0%
Our number
Ole Miss by 46
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
SECN+ Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Wofford Terriers stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-23.0
Adj. offense
13.6
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
36.6
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 26.0 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 23.1 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.88 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.72 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 131.0 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 209.4 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 165.5 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 221.8 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.25 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.38 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 0.75 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 2.63 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | -0.07 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.13 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 38.7% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 43.4% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 11.9% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 12.4% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 12.9% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 15.7% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.38 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.72 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 10 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 10 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 57.9 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | -0.04 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.09 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.13 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.11 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 38.1% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 36.8% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 18.2% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 28.3% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 38.2% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 35.3% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 40.4% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 57.1% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 67.8% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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