Miami Heat
Miami Heat rank 18 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+0.2 points per game against an average opponent on a neutral floor) and project to about 39 wins in 2026-27. In 2025-26 they posted an offensive rating of 113.8 and a defensive rating of 111.6 (net +2.2) at 106.1 possessions per 48 minutes, with 54.2% effective field-goal shooting, a 12.9% turnover rate, 25.4% offensive rebounding and a 0.268 free-throw rate.
Availability in the model: Giannis Antetokounmpo (Questionable), Bam Adebayo (Questionable), Trevor Keels (Questionable), Ryan Conwell (Questionable), Myron Gardner (Questionable).
Rotation and impact
- Bez Mbeng — 28 projected min, impact −0.5
- Davion Mitchell — 26 projected min, impact +1.3
- Andrew Wiggins — 23 projected min, impact +1.3
- Bam Adebayo — 23 projected min, impact +4.2
- Pelle Larsson — 22 projected min, impact +0.8
- Giannis Antetokounmpo — 21 projected min, impact +5.9
- Bobby Portis — 19 projected min, impact +1.5
- Tim Hardaway Jr. — 17 projected min, impact +0.9
- Nick Richards — 16 projected min, impact −0.2
- Klay Thompson — 15 projected min, impact +0.7
- Keshad Johnson — 11 projected min, impact +1.5
- Simone Fontecchio — 11 projected min, impact +1.4
Upcoming games
- vs Minnesota Timberwolves Wed, Oct 21, 2026 — 58% win probability
- vs Detroit Pistons Fri, Oct 23, 2026 — 43% win probability
- at Charlotte Hornets Sat, Oct 24, 2026 — 43% win probability
- vs Dallas Mavericks Mon, Oct 26, 2026 — 68% win probability
- at Atlanta Hawks Wed, Oct 28, 2026 — 42% win probability
- vs Indiana Pacers Fri, Oct 30, 2026 — 64% win probability
- at Los Angeles Lakers Mon, Nov 2, 2026 — 44% win probability
- at LA Clippers Wed, Nov 4, 2026 — 53% win probability
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.