2026 schedule
Duquesne Dukes
2026 season so far
Duquesne is 3-4 against the 91st-toughest schedule so far, scoring 21.9 and allowing 28.1 points per game (-6.2 per game).
Duquesne plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: at New Haven in Week 9. We project Duquesne 30, New Haven 23 — Duquesne wins 66% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
11 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- at
Air Force Falcons
1-0 · SOS #105
Loss 0-34
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Air Force by 27.8
Total 59.8
DraftKings
AFA -31.5
Total 55.5
Final Air Force by 34. Air Force beat the spread. 34 points — under the 55.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Air Force -30 (open Air Force -29.5) · O/U 56.5 (open 58) · ML +2000 / -6500 · Air Force 95% no-vig · model vs market -2.2 pts, +1 pct pts (Air Force view)
MW+ Falcon StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: hitBlowout brewingBlowout brewing: Record 137 hits, 30 misses (82% hit rate) over 167 graded gamesBlowout brewing: hitLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded games - at
Youngstown State Penguins
2-1 · SOS #24
Loss 13-70
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Youngstown State by 9.3
Total 58.3
DraftKings
YSU -22.5
Total 54.5
Final Youngstown State by 57. Youngstown State beat the spread. 83 points — over the 54.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Youngstown State -22.5 · O/U 54.5 (open 53.5) · ML +980 / -2500 · Youngstown State 91% no-vig · model vs market -13.2 pts, -18 pct pts (Youngstown State view)
ESPN+ Stambaugh Stadium - at
Washington State Cougars
1-2 · SOS #33
Loss 7-48
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Washington State by 38.9
Total 48.7
DraftKings
WSU -38.5
Total 51.5
Final Washington State by 41. Washington State beat the spread. 55 points — over the 51.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Washington State -38.5 (open Washington State -38) · O/U 52 (open 53.75) · model vs market +0.4 pts (Washington State view)
USA Net Martin StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: hitBlowout brewingBlowout brewing: Record 137 hits, 30 misses (82% hit rate) over 167 graded gamesBlowout brewing: hit - vs
Rio Grande Red Storm
No record · SOS #65
Win 53-0
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Duquesne by 1.5
Total 56.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Duquesne by 53. 53 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Arthur J. Rooney Athletic FieldPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesCoin flip: missed - vs
Long Island University Sharks
2-5 · SOS #59
Loss 14-17
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Duquesne by 10.3
Total 52.3
DraftKings
DUQ -3.5
Total 45.5
Final Long Island University by 3. Long Island University beat the spread. 31 points — under the 45.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Duquesne -3.5 (open Duquesne -3) · O/U 45.5 · ML +145 / -181 · Duquesne 61% no-vig · model vs market +6.8 pts, +14 pct pts (Duquesne view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 70°F, Wind 10 mph ESE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KAGC)Arthur J. Rooney Athletic FieldPregame calls · how each did
Low Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - at
Stonehill Skyhawks
2-5 · SOS #114
Win 14-7
Week 7
Our number· pregame
dead even
Total 49.5
DraftKings
STO -4.5
Total 43.5
Final Duquesne by 7. Duquesne beat the spread. 21 points — under the 43.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Stonehill -4.5 (open Stonehill -2.5) · O/U 43.5 (open 46.5) · ML +149 / -188 · Stonehill 62% no-vig · model vs market -4.4 pts, -12 pct pts (Stonehill view)
Game-time weather: Partly cloudy, 50°F.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KOWD)W.B. Mason StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesCoin flip: hitUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesUpset alert: hit - vs
Wagner Seahawks
1-7 · SOS #64
Win 52-21
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Duquesne by 18.9
Total 49.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Duquesne by 31. 73 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 61°F, Wind 5 mph ESE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KAGC)Arthur J. Rooney Athletic FieldPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: hitLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - at
New Haven Chargers
2-6 · SOS #74
Sat, Oct 31, 4:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 30-23 · 66%
Our number
Duquesne by 7
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Sunny, 55°F, Wind 9 mph N, 0% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:38 AM EDTESPN+ Ralph F. DellaCamera StadiumExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - vs
Robert Morris Colonials
4-4 · SOS #143
Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 31-19 · 78%
Our number
Duquesne by 12
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Arthur J. Rooney Athletic FieldLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - vs
Mercyhurst Lakers
1-7 · SOS #39
Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 36-21 · 82%
Our number
Duquesne by 15
Total 57
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Arthur J. Rooney Athletic FieldLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - at
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
4-3 · SOS #82
Sat, Nov 21, 5:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 28-33 · 37%
Our number
Central Connecticut by 5
Total 61
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Arute FieldExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games
Times shown in your local time
Duquesne Dukes stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-20.2
Adj. offense
17.0
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
37.2
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 21.9 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 28.1 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.58 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.72 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 155.3 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 154.7 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 194.3 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 176.4 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.43 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.71 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.29 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.29 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.03 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.13 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 38.4% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 44.9% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 13.0% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 13.4% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 14.2% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 16.1% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.76 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.71 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 20 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 18 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 55.6 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.09 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.04 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.07 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.17 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 42.0% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 33.3% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 18.7% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 31.7% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 32.1% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 34.1% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 39.0% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 64.9% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 62.1% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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