2026 schedule
Fordham Rams
2026 season so far
Fordham is 2-7 against the 48th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 15.9 and allowing 31.3 points per game (-15.4 per game).
Fordham plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: at Bucknell in Week 10. We project Fordham 23, Bucknell 23 — Fordham wins 51% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- vs
Colgate Raiders
1-0 · SOS #84
Loss 14-24
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Colgate by 4.2
Total 55.2
DraftKings
COLG -8.5
Total 55.5
Final Colgate by 10. Colgate beat the spread. 38 points — under the 55.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Colgate -8.5 (open Colgate -10) · O/U 55.5 (open 50.5) · ML -318 / +242 · Fordham 28% no-vig · model vs market +4.3 pts, +11 pct pts (Fordham view)
ESPN+ Moglia Stadium at Jack Coffey FieldPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesUpset alert: missedPattern · Watching Under · high total, close game, our total below the book: Record 6 hits, 5 misses (55% hit rate) over 11 graded gamesUnder · high total, close game, our total below the book: hit · Under · high total, close game, our total below the book → went under 6 of 11 since Oct 17 · base 49% - at
North Dakota State Bison
2-0 · SOS #123
Loss 0-38
Week 1
Our number· pregame
North Dakota State by 42
Total 52
DraftKings
NDSU -41.5
Total 54.5
Final North Dakota State by 38. Fordham beat the spread. 38 points — under the 54.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: North Dakota State -41.5 (open North Dakota State -40.5) · O/U 54.25 (open 56.75) · model vs market +0.5 pts (North Dakota State view)
MW+ FargodomePregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: hitBlowout brewingBlowout brewing: Record 137 hits, 30 misses (82% hit rate) over 167 graded gamesBlowout brewing: hit - at
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
1-1 · SOS #115
Loss 7-45
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Coastal Carolina by 33.7
Total 49.7
DraftKings
CCU -36.5
Total 54.5
Final Coastal Carolina by 38. Coastal Carolina beat the spread. 52 points — under the 54.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Coastal Carolina -37 (open Coastal Carolina -33) · O/U 54.5 (open 52.75) · ML +5000 / -100000 · Coastal Carolina 98% no-vig · model vs market -3.3 pts, +1 pct pts (Coastal Carolina view)
ESPN+ Brooks Stadium (SC)Pregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: hitBlowout brewingBlowout brewing: Record 137 hits, 30 misses (82% hit rate) over 167 graded gamesBlowout brewing: hit - at
William & Mary Tribe
2-2 · SOS #78
Win 52-27
Week 3
Our number· pregame
William & Mary by 2.2
Total 52.6
DraftKings
W&M -15.5
Total 51.5
Final Fordham by 25. Fordham beat the spread. 79 points — over the 51.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: William & Mary -15.5 (open William & Mary -19.5) · O/U 51.5 · ML +780 / -1560 · William & Mary 89% no-vig · model vs market -13.3 pts, -34 pct pts (William & Mary view)
ESPN+ Walter J. Zable StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesCoin flip: missedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesUpset alert: hit - vs
Stony Brook Seawolves
3-2 · SOS #137
Loss 16-31
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Stony Brook by 4.2
Total 57.8
DraftKings
STBK -9.5
Total 50.5
Final Stony Brook by 15. Stony Brook beat the spread. 47 points — under the 50.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Stony Brook -9.5 (open Stony Brook -10) · O/U 50.5 (open 56.5) · ML -329 / +249 · Fordham 27% no-vig · model vs market +5.3 pts, +12 pct pts (Fordham view)
Game-time weather: Light rain, 61°F, Wind 21 mph NNE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KLGA)ESPN+ Moglia Stadium at Jack Coffey FieldPregame calls · how each did
- at
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
6-0 · SOS #131
Loss 0-34
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Lehigh by 25.7
Total 48.5
DraftKings
LEH -22.5
Total 44.5
Final Lehigh by 34. Lehigh beat the spread. 34 points — under the 44.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Lehigh -22.5 (open Lehigh -21.5) · O/U 44.5 · ML +1020 / -2800 · Lehigh 92% no-vig · model vs market +3.2 pts, +4 pct pts (Lehigh view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 72°F, Wind 13 mph E.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KABE)ESPN+ Goodman StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: hitBlowout brewingBlowout brewing: Record 137 hits, 30 misses (82% hit rate) over 167 graded gamesBlowout brewing: hit - vs
Richmond Spiders
5-2 · SOS #129
Win 20-14
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Richmond by 5
Total 48.8
DraftKings
RICH -8.5
Total 45.5
Final Fordham by 6. Fordham beat the spread. 34 points — under the 45.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Richmond -8.5 · O/U 45.5 · ML -355 / +267 · Fordham 26% no-vig · model vs market +3.5 pts, +11 pct pts (Fordham view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 66°F, Wind 9 mph SSE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KLGA)ESPN+ Moglia Stadium at Jack Coffey FieldPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesUpset alert: hitLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - vs
Villanova Wildcats
3-4 · SOS #103
Loss 17-38
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Villanova by 7.6
Total 49.4
DraftKings
VILL -7.5
Total 44.5
Final Villanova by 21. Villanova beat the spread. 55 points — over the 44.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Villanova -7.5 · O/U 44.5 (open 47.5) · ML -323 / +246 · Fordham 27% no-vig · model vs market -0.1 pts, +4 pct pts (Fordham view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 52°F.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KLGA)ESPN+ Moglia Stadium at Jack Coffey FieldPregame calls · how each did
Low Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded gamesLow Scoring Alert: missed - vs
Lafayette Leopards
3-4 · SOS #126
Loss 17-31
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Lafayette by 2.8
Total 53.6
Book line
Not posted
Final Lafayette by 14. 48 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 61°F, Wind 5 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KLGA)ESPN+ Moglia Stadium at Jack Coffey FieldPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesCoin flip: missedLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - at
Bucknell Bison
1-7 · SOS #115
Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 23-23 · 51%
Our number
dead even
Total 46
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Christy Mathewson-Memorial StadiumExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - vs
Georgetown Hoyas
3-4 · SOS #121
Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 23-25 · 45%
Our number
Georgetown by 2
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Moglia Stadium at Jack Coffey FieldExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - at
Holy Cross Crusaders
3-5 · SOS #69
Sat, Nov 21, 5:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 18-31 · 19%
Our number
Holy Cross by 13
Total 49
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Fitton FieldLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games
Times shown in your local time
Fordham Rams stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-33.5
Adj. offense
8.6
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
42.1
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 15.9 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 31.3 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.25 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 6.13 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 170.8 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 141.4 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 193.1 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 194.3 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.44 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.44 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.00 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 3.00 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | -0.02 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.18 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 40.9% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 50.1% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 10.5% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 13.0% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 12.4% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 15.4% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.07 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 4.01 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 19 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 14 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 59.4 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.21 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.24 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.15 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.22 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 49.5% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 36.7% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 14.7% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 26.8% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 38.5% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 34.5% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 44.9% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 48.0% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 67.7% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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