2026 schedule
Clemson Tigers
2026 season so far
Clemson is 4-3 against the 24th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 21.4 and allowing 21.3 points per game (+0.1 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Clemson ranks 51st of 139 FBS teams overall — 74th on offense and 30th on defense. The defense is the stronger unit.
Next up: at Florida State in Week 9. We project Clemson 21, Florida State 28 — Clemson wins 32% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- at
#11 LSU Tigers
1-0 · SOS #18
Loss 10-51
Week 1
Our number· pregame
LSU by 3.5
Total 46.7
Book line
Not posted
Final LSU by 41. 61 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ABC Tiger Stadium (LA) - vs
Georgia Southern Eagles
1-1 · SOS #81
Win 22-7
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Clemson by 8.5
Total 51.7
Book line
Not posted
Final Clemson by 15. 29 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ACC Network Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) - vs
North Carolina Tar Heels
2-1 · SOS #10
Win 28-20
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Clemson by 1.5
Total 42.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Clemson by 8. 48 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPNEWS/Disney+ Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) - at
California Golden Bears
2-2 · SOS #48
Win 24-10
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Clemson by 3
Total 51.6
Book line
Not posted
Final Clemson by 14. 34 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN California Memorial Stadium - vs
#4 Miami Hurricanes
5-0 · SOS #72
Loss 13-41
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Miami by 17.9
Total 52.1
Book line
Not posted
Final Miami by 28. 54 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 75°F, Wind calm.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KCEU)ABC Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) - vs
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
3-4 · SOS #61
Win 37-0
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Clemson by 27.2
Total 43.4
Book line
Not posted
Final Clemson by 37. 37 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 65°F.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KLQK)ACC Network Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) - vs
Virginia Tech Hokies
6-2 · SOS #111
Loss 16-20
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Clemson by 3.5
Total 50.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Virginia Tech by 4. 36 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 55°F, Wind 7 mph ENE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KCEU)ESPN Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) - at
Florida State Seminoles
3-4 · SOS #13
Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 21-28 · 32%
Our number
Florida State by 7
Total 49
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Chance rain showers, 78°F, Wind 10 mph ENE, 31% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:37 AM EDTACC Network Doak Campbell Stadium - at
Syracuse Orange
3-4 · SOS #77
Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 26-24 · 55%
Our number
Clemson by 2
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN2 JMA Wireless Dome - vs
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
2-5 · SOS #43
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 29-21 · 70%
Our number
Clemson by 8
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) - at
Duke Blue Devils
5-2 · SOS #90
Sat, Nov 21, 12:30 AM
Week 12
Proj 22-25 · 41%
Our number
Duke by 3
Total 47
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN Wallace Wade Stadium - vs
South Carolina Gamecocks
4-3 · SOS #23
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
Week 13
Proj 22-28 · 35%
Our number
South Carolina by 6
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
Times shown in your local time
Clemson Tigers stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
+4.0
51st in FBS
Adj. offense
25.7
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
21.7
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 21.4 | 112 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 21.3 | 52 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.24 | 123 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 4.80 | 14 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 162.3 | 80 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 189.7 | 107 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 144.9 | 57 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 171.0 | 20 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.14 | 108 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.57 | 116 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.86 | 16 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 3.00 | 131 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | -0.07 | 132 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | -0.06 | 24 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 37.1% | 129 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 40.6% | 66 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 10.6% | 123 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 10.3% | 31 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 17.0% | 13 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 15.2% | 113 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.23 | 126 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.17 | 16 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 32 | 31 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 26 | 18 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 67.1 | 59 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.04 | 91 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.16 | 134 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.05 | 80 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | -0.15 | 11 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 38.3% | 117 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 36.0% | 120 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 19.0% | 99 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 30.1% | 86 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 35.9% | 123 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 32.3% | 129 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 33.3% | 24 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 40.9% | 135 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 58.8% | 71 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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