2026 schedule
Portland State Vikings
2026 season so far
Portland State is 2-6 against the 8th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 21.8 and allowing 43.3 points per game (-21.5 per game).
Portland State plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: vs Idaho in Week 9. We project Portland State 26, Idaho 37 — Portland State wins 22% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- vs
UC Davis Aggies
1-0 · SOS #85
Loss 24-31
Week 1
Our number· model now
UC Davis by 14
Total 62
Book line
Not posted
Final UC Davis by 7. 55 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Hillsboro Stadium - at
San Diego State Aztecs
1-0 · SOS #70
Loss 20-53
Week 1
Our number· model now
San Diego State by 26
Total 60
Book line
Not posted
Final San Diego State by 33. 73 points. No book line was saved for this game.
USA Net Snapdragon Stadium - vs
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
3-0 · SOS #45
Loss 23-47
Week 2
Our number· model now
North Dakota by 25
Total 61
Book line
Not posted
Final North Dakota by 24. 70 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Hillsboro Stadium - at
#21 Oregon Ducks
2-1 · SOS #20
Loss 0-84
Week 3
Our number· model now
Oregon by 59
Total 59
Book line
Not posted
Final Oregon by 84. 84 points. No book line was saved for this game.
BTN Autzen Stadium - at
Weber State Wildcats
2-3 · SOS #69
Win 44-41
Week 4
Our number· model now
Weber State by 13
Total 65
Book line
Not posted
Final Portland State by 3. 85 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Stewart Stadium - vs
Utah Tech Trailblazers
0-7 · SOS #16
Win 30-14
Week 6
Our number· model now
Portland State by 2
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
Final Portland State by 16. 44 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Hillsboro Stadium - at
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
6-2 · SOS #18
Loss 25-38
Week 7
Our number· model now
Northern Arizona by 17
Total 63
Book line
Not posted
Final Northern Arizona by 13. 63 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome - at
Idaho State Bengals
5-3 · SOS #124
Loss 8-38
Week 8
Our number· model now
Idaho State by 20
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
Final Idaho State by 30. 46 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ ICCU Dome - vs
Idaho Vandals
3-5 · SOS #6
Sat, Oct 31, 8:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 26-37 · 22%
Our number
Idaho by 11
Total 63
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Hillsboro Stadium - at
Montana Grizzlies
5-3 · SOS #50
Sat, Nov 7, 8:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 21-45 · 6%
Our number
Montana by 24
Total 66
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Washington-Grizzly Stadium - vs
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
3-5 · SOS #39
Sat, Nov 14, 3:00 AM
Week 11
Proj 24-38 · 17%
Our number
Southern Utah by 14
Total 62
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Hillsboro Stadium - at
Eastern Washington Eagles
2-6 · SOS #11
Sat, Nov 21, 9:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 28-36 · 30%
Our number
Eastern Washington by 8
Total 64
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Roos Field
Times shown in your local time
Portland State Vikings stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-32.9
Adj. offense
12.7
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
45.6
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 21.8 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 43.3 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.09 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 7.13 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 137.6 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 185.4 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 201.1 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 319.5 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.25 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.13 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 1.50 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 2.00 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.02 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.22 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 40.3% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 44.6% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 11.1% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 16.2% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 13.5% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 13.7% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.62 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 4.89 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 19 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 15 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 63.5 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.06 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | 0.00 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.15 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.28 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 44.2% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 37.8% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 24.1% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 29.9% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 34.2% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 33.6% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 46.2% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 49.8% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 73.3% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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