2026 schedule
Robert Morris Colonials
2026 season so far
Robert Morris is 4-4 against the 143rd-toughest schedule so far, scoring 24.8 and allowing 23.9 points per game (+0.9 per game).
Robert Morris plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: at Central Connecticut in Week 9. We project Robert Morris 20, Central Connecticut 36 — Robert Morris wins 16% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- at
Wagner Seahawks
0-1 · SOS #63
Win 28-7
Week 1
Our number· model now
Robert Morris by 8
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
Final Robert Morris by 21. 35 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Hameline Field at Wagner College Stadium - vs
West Virginia State Yellow Jackets
1-1 · SOS #170
Win 29-9
Week 1
Our number· model now
Robert Morris by 4
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
Final Robert Morris by 20. 38 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Joe Walton Stadium - at
Akron Zips
1-1 · SOS #111
Loss 10-45
Week 2
Our number· model now
Akron by 12
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
Final Akron by 35. 55 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ InfoCision Stadium - at
Buffalo Bulls
2-2 · SOS #126
Loss 28-31
Week 4
Our number· model now
Buffalo by 18
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
Final Buffalo by 3. 59 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Broadview Stadium - vs
Norfolk State Spartans
3-3 · SOS #153
Win 33-31
Week 5
Our number· model now
Norfolk State by 4
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
Final Robert Morris by 2. 64 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Joe Walton Stadium - at
Morgan State Bears
5-1 · SOS #167
Loss 27-28
Week 6
Our number· model now
Morgan State by 7
Total 51
Book line
Not posted
Final Morgan State by 1. 55 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Hughes Stadium (MD) - vs
New Haven Chargers
2-5 · SOS #74
Loss 15-26
Week 7
Our number· model now
Robert Morris by 2
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
Final New Haven by 11. 41 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Joe Walton Stadium - vs
Mercyhurst Lakers
1-7 · SOS #33
Win 28-14
Week 8
Our number· model now
Robert Morris by 5
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
Final Robert Morris by 14. 42 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Joe Walton Stadium - at
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
4-3 · SOS #82
Sat, Oct 31, 4:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 20-36 · 16%
Our number
Central Connecticut by 16
Total 56
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Arute Field - at
Duquesne Dukes
3-4 · SOS #91
Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 19-31 · 22%
Our number
Duquesne by 12
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Arthur J. Rooney Athletic Field - vs
Stonehill Skyhawks
3-5 · SOS #115
Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 22-21 · 51%
Our number
Robert Morris by 1
Total 43
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Joe Walton Stadium - vs
Long Island University Sharks
3-6 · SOS #59
Sat, Nov 21, 5:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 23-20 · 56%
Our number
Robert Morris by 3
Total 43
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Joe Walton Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Robert Morris Colonials stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-31.4
Adj. offense
9.1
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
40.5
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 24.8 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 23.9 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.77 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.48 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 87.5 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 247.8 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 172.1 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 206.0 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.13 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.00 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.38 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.25 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | -0.05 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.07 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 34.3% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 41.1% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 11.6% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 13.6% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 13.1% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 16.9% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.91 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 4.13 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 18 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 17 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 58.1 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | -0.20 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.06 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.12 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.03 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 28.1% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 38.7% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 23.9% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 26.6% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 32.6% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 40.0% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 35.0% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 50.8% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 63.6% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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